Official forecasts from Brazil’s National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and supporting international models consistently projected a daily maximum near 23 °C for São Paulo on June 6 under typical early austral winter conditions, including broken cloud cover and light southeasterly flow that limited daytime heating. This aligns with the city’s June climatological average high of approximately 22–23 °C and recent observational trends showing moderation from earlier-month warmth. Post-event station data have now confirmed the peak reached exactly this threshold, producing the market’s overwhelming 100 % implied probability on the 23 °C outcome. Minor model spread or station-to-station differences could theoretically shift the recorded maximum by 1 °C, though current evidence makes such revisions unlikely before final resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月6日のサンパウロの最高気温は？
6月6日のサンパウロの最高気温は？
23℃ 100.0%
15°C以下 <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$45,525 Vol.
$45,525 Vol.
2026/06/06
15°C以下
いいえ
16°C
いいえ
17°C
いいえ
18°C
いいえ
19℃
いいえ
20°C
いいえ
21°C
いいえ
22℃
いいえ
23℃
はい
24℃
いいえ
25℃以上
いいえ
23℃ 100.0%
15°C以下 <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$45,525 Vol.
$45,525 Vol.
2026/06/06
15°C以下
$171 Vol.
いいえ
16°C
$4,926 Vol.
いいえ
17°C
$818 Vol.
いいえ
18°C
$3,868 Vol.
いいえ
19℃
$3,553 Vol.
いいえ
20°C
$3,859 Vol.
いいえ
21°C
$2,447 Vol.
いいえ
22℃
$3,778 Vol.
いいえ
23℃
$8,813 Vol.
はい
24℃
$7,194 Vol.
いいえ
25℃以上
$6,098 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Brazil’s National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and supporting international models consistently projected a daily maximum near 23 °C for São Paulo on June 6 under typical early austral winter conditions, including broken cloud cover and light southeasterly flow that limited daytime heating. This aligns with the city’s June climatological average high of approximately 22–23 °C and recent observational trends showing moderation from earlier-month warmth. Post-event station data have now confirmed the peak reached exactly this threshold, producing the market’s overwhelming 100 % implied probability on the 23 °C outcome. Minor model spread or station-to-station differences could theoretically shift the recorded maximum by 1 °C, though current evidence makes such revisions unlikely before final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
音量
$45,525終了日
2026/06/06マーケット開始日
Jun 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Brazil’s National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and supporting international models consistently projected a daily maximum near 23 °C for São Paulo on June 6 under typical early austral winter conditions, including broken cloud cover and light southeasterly flow that limited daytime heating. This aligns with the city’s June climatological average high of approximately 22–23 °C and recent observational trends showing moderation from earlier-month warmth. Post-event station data have now confirmed the peak reached exactly this threshold, producing the market’s overwhelming 100 % implied probability on the 23 °C outcome. Minor model spread or station-to-station differences could theoretically shift the recorded maximum by 1 °C, though current evidence makes such revisions unlikely before final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$45,525終了日
2026/06/06マーケット開始日
Jun 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Official forecasts from Brazil’s National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and supporting international models consistently projected a daily maximum near 23 °C for São Paulo on June 6 under typical early austral winter conditions, including broken cloud cover and light southeasterly flow that limited daytime heating. This aligns with the city’s June climatological average high of approximately 22–23 °C and recent observational trends showing moderation from earlier-month warmth. Post-event station data have now confirmed the peak reached exactly this threshold, producing the market’s overwhelming 100 % implied probability on the 23 °C outcome. Minor model spread or station-to-station differences could theoretically shift the recorded maximum by 1 °C, though current evidence makes such revisions unlikely before final resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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