Ensemble weather models from ECMWF, GFS, and INMET project Sao Paulo's March 23 high temperature clustering tightly around 28-30°C, fueling the neck-and-neck trader odds, with a high-pressure ridge promoting sunny skies and low humidity favoring peaks near 29°C. Leading 29°C (26.5%) edges out due to consensus from the past 24-hour model runs showing minimal afternoon convection risk, though slight divergences persist: ECMWF leans warmer at 30°C under clearer conditions, while GFS hints at 28°C if isolated clouds develop. March climatology averages 27-28°C highs, but lingering summer warmth and urban heat island effects in Sao Paulo amplify upside potential, with INMET's next update pivotal for resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on March 23?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on March 23?
29°C 27%
30°C 26%
28°C 19%
31°C 18%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
9%
24°C
9%
25°C
9%
26°C
10%
27°C
7%
28°C
26%
29°C
27%
30°C
26%
31°C
18%
32°C or higher
17%
29°C 27%
30°C 26%
28°C 19%
31°C 18%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
9%
24°C
9%
25°C
9%
26°C
10%
27°C
7%
28°C
26%
29°C
27%
30°C
26%
31°C
18%
32°C or higher
17%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 19, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble weather models from ECMWF, GFS, and INMET project Sao Paulo's March 23 high temperature clustering tightly around 28-30°C, fueling the neck-and-neck trader odds, with a high-pressure ridge promoting sunny skies and low humidity favoring peaks near 29°C. Leading 29°C (26.5%) edges out due to consensus from the past 24-hour model runs showing minimal afternoon convection risk, though slight divergences persist: ECMWF leans warmer at 30°C under clearer conditions, while GFS hints at 28°C if isolated clouds develop. March climatology averages 27-28°C highs, but lingering summer warmth and urban heat island effects in Sao Paulo amplify upside potential, with INMET's next update pivotal for resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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