Recent ensemble forecasts from major global models place Warsaw's maximum temperature on August 1 in the 28–32 °C range, producing tightly clustered market probabilities around 29–31 °C. A lingering warm anomaly across central Europe, supported by above-average sea-surface temperatures in the North Atlantic, favors afternoon highs near 30 °C under mostly sunny conditions with light easterly flow. Minor model spread arises from subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture and the timing of any weak frontal passage, preventing stronger consensus. Traders are monitoring the next ECMWF and GFS runs for adjustments ahead of the 48-hour window, when local observations will determine the official peak.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月1日のワルシャワの最高気温は？
8月1日のワルシャワの最高気温は？
30°C 35%
29°C 21%
31°C 19%
32°C 17%
新規
新規
2026/08/01
28°C or below
12%
29°C
21%
30°C
25%
31°C
19%
32°C
17%
33°C
5%
34°C
3%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
1%
30°C 35%
29°C 21%
31°C 19%
32°C 17%
新規
新規
2026/08/01
28°C or below
$0 Vol.
12%
29°C
$14 Vol.
21%
30°C
$10 Vol.
25%
31°C
$0 Vol.
19%
32°C
$33 Vol.
17%
33°C
$0 Vol.
5%
34°C
$6 Vol.
3%
35°C
$11 Vol.
2%
36°C
$10 Vol.
1%
37°C
$0 Vol.
1%
38°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major global models place Warsaw's maximum temperature on August 1 in the 28–32 °C range, producing tightly clustered market probabilities around 29–31 °C. A lingering warm anomaly across central Europe, supported by above-average sea-surface temperatures in the North Atlantic, favors afternoon highs near 30 °C under mostly sunny conditions with light easterly flow. Minor model spread arises from subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture and the timing of any weak frontal passage, preventing stronger consensus. Traders are monitoring the next ECMWF and GFS runs for adjustments ahead of the 48-hour window, when local observations will determine the official peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
音量
$84終了日
2026/08/01マーケット開始日
Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major global models place Warsaw's maximum temperature on August 1 in the 28–32 °C range, producing tightly clustered market probabilities around 29–31 °C. A lingering warm anomaly across central Europe, supported by above-average sea-surface temperatures in the North Atlantic, favors afternoon highs near 30 °C under mostly sunny conditions with light easterly flow. Minor model spread arises from subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture and the timing of any weak frontal passage, preventing stronger consensus. Traders are monitoring the next ECMWF and GFS runs for adjustments ahead of the 48-hour window, when local observations will determine the official peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$84終了日
2026/08/01マーケット開始日
Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from major global models place Warsaw's maximum temperature on August 1 in the 28–32 °C range, producing tightly clustered market probabilities around 29–31 °C. A lingering warm anomaly across central Europe, supported by above-average sea-surface temperatures in the North Atlantic, favors afternoon highs near 30 °C under mostly sunny conditions with light easterly flow. Minor model spread arises from subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture and the timing of any weak frontal passage, preventing stronger consensus. Traders are monitoring the next ECMWF and GFS runs for adjustments ahead of the 48-hour window, when local observations will determine the official peak.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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