Recent escalation in long-term Treasury yields to 5.26-5.27% as of September 2 reflects persistent inflation pressures from elevated oil prices near $95 per barrel amid Middle East tensions, alongside a firming labor market and hawkish Federal Reserve communications signaling potential rate hikes at the September FOMC. Market-implied odds now price in roughly even chances of a hike this month, lifting the term premium as investors demand compensation for fiscal deficits exceeding $40 trillion and heavy Treasury supply. Recent ADP and payroll data showing modest job gains have tempered but not reversed these concerns, while global bond selloffs reinforce the upward pressure on 30-year yields. Traders will monitor upcoming CPI releases, Fed speeches, and any de-escalation signals for shifts in the rate path versus the current elevated baseline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
2026/09/30
5.24％未満
50%
5.21％未満
50%
5.18％未満
50%
5.15％未満
50%
5.12%未満
50%
5.09％未満
50%
5.05%未満
50%
5.00％未満
50%
4.95％未満
50%
$0.00 Vol.
5.24％未満
$0 Vol.
50%
5.21％未満
$0 Vol.
50%
5.18％未満
$0 Vol.
50%
5.15％未満
$0 Vol.
50%
5.12%未満
$0 Vol.
50%
5.09％未満
$0 Vol.
50%
5.05%未満
$0 Vol.
50%
5.00％未満
$0 Vol.
50%
4.95％未満
$0 Vol.
50%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Recent escalation in long-term Treasury yields to 5.26-5.27% as of September 2 reflects persistent inflation pressures from elevated oil prices near $95 per barrel amid Middle East tensions, alongside a firming labor market and hawkish Federal Reserve communications signaling potential rate hikes at the September FOMC. Market-implied odds now price in roughly even chances of a hike this month, lifting the term premium as investors demand compensation for fiscal deficits exceeding $40 trillion and heavy Treasury supply. Recent ADP and payroll data showing modest job gains have tempered but not reversed these concerns, while global bond selloffs reinforce the upward pressure on 30-year yields. Traders will monitor upcoming CPI releases, Fed speeches, and any de-escalation signals for shifts in the rate path versus the current elevated baseline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
マーケット開始日： Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/30マーケット開始日
Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Recent escalation in long-term Treasury yields to 5.26-5.27% as of September 2 reflects persistent inflation pressures from elevated oil prices near $95 per barrel amid Middle East tensions, alongside a firming labor market and hawkish Federal Reserve communications signaling potential rate hikes at the September FOMC. Market-implied odds now price in roughly even chances of a hike this month, lifting the term premium as investors demand compensation for fiscal deficits exceeding $40 trillion and heavy Treasury supply. Recent ADP and payroll data showing modest job gains have tempered but not reversed these concerns, while global bond selloffs reinforce the upward pressure on 30-year yields. Traders will monitor upcoming CPI releases, Fed speeches, and any de-escalation signals for shifts in the rate path versus the current elevated baseline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/30マーケット開始日
Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Recent escalation in long-term Treasury yields to 5.26-5.27% as of September 2 reflects persistent inflation pressures from elevated oil prices near $95 per barrel amid Middle East tensions, alongside a firming labor market and hawkish Federal Reserve communications signaling potential rate hikes at the September FOMC. Market-implied odds now price in roughly even chances of a hike this month, lifting the term premium as investors demand compensation for fiscal deficits exceeding $40 trillion and heavy Treasury supply. Recent ADP and payroll data showing modest job gains have tempered but not reversed these concerns, while global bond selloffs reinforce the upward pressure on 30-year yields. Traders will monitor upcoming CPI releases, Fed speeches, and any de-escalation signals for shifts in the rate path versus the current elevated baseline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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