Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate Paris will see overnight lows near 19°C on August 27, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity, and light southerly flow that limits radiative cooling overnight. These conditions suppress the typical nocturnal temperature drop seen under clear skies, keeping minimum readings above the long-term August average of roughly 14°C. Current observations early on the 27th already hover around 19–21°C, with high temperatures expected near 29°C later, reinforcing trader consensus around the 19°C outcome at 75% implied probability. Minor model spread allows limited support for 18°C, but stronger cooling appears unlikely without an unexpected clear-sky window or frontal passage.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月27日のパリの最低気温は?
19℃ 55%
18℃ 40%
17°C 3%
16°C <1%
14℃以下
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
3%
18℃
22%
19℃
76%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23℃
<1%
24°C以上
<1%
19℃ 55%
18℃ 40%
17°C 3%
16°C <1%
14℃以下
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
3%
18℃
22%
19℃
76%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23℃
<1%
24°C以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate Paris will see overnight lows near 19°C on August 27, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity, and light southerly flow that limits radiative cooling overnight. These conditions suppress the typical nocturnal temperature drop seen under clear skies, keeping minimum readings above the long-term August average of roughly 14°C. Current observations early on the 27th already hover around 19–21°C, with high temperatures expected near 29°C later, reinforcing trader consensus around the 19°C outcome at 75% implied probability. Minor model spread allows limited support for 18°C, but stronger cooling appears unlikely without an unexpected clear-sky window or frontal passage.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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