Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a lowest temperature of 14°C in Shanghai on April 27, reflecting the China Meteorological Administration's (CMA) latest forecast update from April 25, which projects an overnight low of exactly 14°C amid persistent overcast skies and light winds. Current daytime highs near 29°C (85°F) with cloudy conditions have aligned with model ensembles from CMA and international sources like AccuWeather, showing minimal divergence and cloud cover suppressing radiative cooling that could otherwise drop temperatures lower. Historical April lows average 11°C but this mild spring pattern, influenced by weak East Asian monsoon flows, supports the positioning. Realistic challenges include an unexpected clearing of skies overnight or a late northerly wind shift introducing colder air, though official hourly observations through dawn will confirm resolution with high confidence.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Lowest temperature in Shanghai on April 27?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on April 27?
14°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11℃ <1%
12°C <1%
$22,874 Vol.
$22,874 Vol.
2026/04/27
10°C or below
No
11℃
いいえ
12°C
いいえ
13℃
いいえ
14°C
はい
15℃
いいえ
16°C
いいえ
17℃
いいえ
18°C
いいえ
19℃
いいえ
20°C以上
いいえ
14°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11℃ <1%
12°C <1%
$22,874 Vol.
$22,874 Vol.
2026/04/27
10°C or below
$2,153 Vol.
No
11℃
$1,858 Vol.
いいえ
12°C
$1,433 Vol.
いいえ
13℃
$1,870 Vol.
いいえ
14°C
$5,542 Vol.
はい
15℃
$987 Vol.
いいえ
16°C
$3,091 Vol.
いいえ
17℃
$1,145 Vol.
いいえ
18°C
$967 Vol.
いいえ
19℃
$537 Vol.
いいえ
20°C以上
$3,291 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a lowest temperature of 14°C in Shanghai on April 27, reflecting the China Meteorological Administration's (CMA) latest forecast update from April 25, which projects an overnight low of exactly 14°C amid persistent overcast skies and light winds. Current daytime highs near 29°C (85°F) with cloudy conditions have aligned with model ensembles from CMA and international sources like AccuWeather, showing minimal divergence and cloud cover suppressing radiative cooling that could otherwise drop temperatures lower. Historical April lows average 11°C but this mild spring pattern, influenced by weak East Asian monsoon flows, supports the positioning. Realistic challenges include an unexpected clearing of skies overnight or a late northerly wind shift introducing colder air, though official hourly observations through dawn will confirm resolution with high confidence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 25, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
音量
$22,874終了日
2026/04/27マーケット開始日
Apr 25, 2026, 12:02 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a lowest temperature of 14°C in Shanghai on April 27, reflecting the China Meteorological Administration's (CMA) latest forecast update from April 25, which projects an overnight low of exactly 14°C amid persistent overcast skies and light winds. Current daytime highs near 29°C (85°F) with cloudy conditions have aligned with model ensembles from CMA and international sources like AccuWeather, showing minimal divergence and cloud cover suppressing radiative cooling that could otherwise drop temperatures lower. Historical April lows average 11°C but this mild spring pattern, influenced by weak East Asian monsoon flows, supports the positioning. Realistic challenges include an unexpected clearing of skies overnight or a late northerly wind shift introducing colder air, though official hourly observations through dawn will confirm resolution with high confidence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$22,874終了日
2026/04/27マーケット開始日
Apr 25, 2026, 12:02 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a lowest temperature of 14°C in Shanghai on April 27, reflecting the China Meteorological Administration's (CMA) latest forecast update from April 25, which projects an overnight low of exactly 14°C amid persistent overcast skies and light winds. Current daytime highs near 29°C (85°F) with cloudy conditions have aligned with model ensembles from CMA and international sources like AccuWeather, showing minimal divergence and cloud cover suppressing radiative cooling that could otherwise drop temperatures lower. Historical April lows average 11°C but this mild spring pattern, influenced by weak East Asian monsoon flows, supports the positioning. Realistic challenges include an unexpected clearing of skies overnight or a late northerly wind shift introducing colder air, though official hourly observations through dawn will confirm resolution with high confidence.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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