**Recent forecast model consensus from sources like Open-Meteo, ECMWF-influenced runs, and national meteorological services points to a minimum temperature in Warsaw of 9–11 °C on September 25, driven by moderate westerly flow, increasing cloud cover, and light precipitation that limits nocturnal radiative cooling.** This setup aligns with late-September climatology, where average overnight lows hover near 10 °C, though persistent cloud decks and a weak low-pressure influence could keep readings from falling further. Market-implied odds favoring 13 °C or higher reflect trader emphasis on potential model warming shifts or reduced rain overnight, while the cluster around 7–12 °C captures uncertainty in exact timing of any clearing. Updated high-resolution runs and official briefings from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月25日のワルシャワの最低気温は？
9月25日のワルシャワの最低気温は？
13℃以上 98%
3°C以下 50%
7℃ 40%
8℃ 40%
新規
新規
2026/09/25
3°C以下
50%
4℃
39%
5°C
39%
6℃
39%
7℃
40%
8℃
40%
9°C
40%
10°C
39%
11℃
39%
12°C
39%
13℃以上
98%
13℃以上 98%
3°C以下 50%
7℃ 40%
8℃ 40%
新規
新規
2026/09/25
3°C以下
$0 Vol.
50%
4℃
$0 Vol.
39%
5°C
$0 Vol.
39%
6℃
$0 Vol.
39%
7℃
$0 Vol.
40%
8℃
$0 Vol.
40%
9°C
$0 Vol.
40%
10°C
$0 Vol.
39%
11℃
$0 Vol.
39%
12°C
$0 Vol.
39%
13℃以上
$0 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecast model consensus from sources like Open-Meteo, ECMWF-influenced runs, and national meteorological services points to a minimum temperature in Warsaw of 9–11 °C on September 25, driven by moderate westerly flow, increasing cloud cover, and light precipitation that limits nocturnal radiative cooling.** This setup aligns with late-September climatology, where average overnight lows hover near 10 °C, though persistent cloud decks and a weak low-pressure influence could keep readings from falling further. Market-implied odds favoring 13 °C or higher reflect trader emphasis on potential model warming shifts or reduced rain overnight, while the cluster around 7–12 °C captures uncertainty in exact timing of any clearing. Updated high-resolution runs and official briefings from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/25マーケット開始日
Sep 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecast model consensus from sources like Open-Meteo, ECMWF-influenced runs, and national meteorological services points to a minimum temperature in Warsaw of 9–11 °C on September 25, driven by moderate westerly flow, increasing cloud cover, and light precipitation that limits nocturnal radiative cooling.** This setup aligns with late-September climatology, where average overnight lows hover near 10 °C, though persistent cloud decks and a weak low-pressure influence could keep readings from falling further. Market-implied odds favoring 13 °C or higher reflect trader emphasis on potential model warming shifts or reduced rain overnight, while the cluster around 7–12 °C captures uncertainty in exact timing of any clearing. Updated high-resolution runs and official briefings from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/25マーケット開始日
Sep 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET**Recent forecast model consensus from sources like Open-Meteo, ECMWF-influenced runs, and national meteorological services points to a minimum temperature in Warsaw of 9–11 °C on September 25, driven by moderate westerly flow, increasing cloud cover, and light precipitation that limits nocturnal radiative cooling.** This setup aligns with late-September climatology, where average overnight lows hover near 10 °C, though persistent cloud decks and a weak low-pressure influence could keep readings from falling further. Market-implied odds favoring 13 °C or higher reflect trader emphasis on potential model warming shifts or reduced rain overnight, while the cluster around 7–12 °C captures uncertainty in exact timing of any clearing. Updated high-resolution runs and official briefings from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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