Tyler Kistner's withdrawal from the MN-02 Republican primary on April 15, due to activation from the Marine Reserves for Middle East deployment and increased Pentagon duties, has propelled state Sen. Eric Pratt to 84.5% trader consensus as the presumptive nominee. Previously a competitive intraparty contest in this open battleground district—vacated by Rep. Angie Craig—with Kistner leveraging prior 2020 and 2022 nominations and recent straw poll victories like 66% in Scott County, Pratt now stands unopposed ahead of the August 11 primary. Residual 8.5% on Kistner reflects minor uncertainty over potential late entrants or procedural changes, underscoring the wisdom of crowds in pricing political risk.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$14,258 Vol.
$14,258 Vol.
2026/08/11
エリック・プラット
85%
タイラー・キストナー
9%
$14,258 Vol.
$14,258 Vol.
2026/08/11
エリック・プラット
$2,617 Vol.
85%
タイラー・キストナー
$11,641 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Tyler Kistner's withdrawal from the MN-02 Republican primary on April 15, due to activation from the Marine Reserves for Middle East deployment and increased Pentagon duties, has propelled state Sen. Eric Pratt to 84.5% trader consensus as the presumptive nominee. Previously a competitive intraparty contest in this open battleground district—vacated by Rep. Angie Craig—with Kistner leveraging prior 2020 and 2022 nominations and recent straw poll victories like 66% in Scott County, Pratt now stands unopposed ahead of the August 11 primary. Residual 8.5% on Kistner reflects minor uncertainty over potential late entrants or procedural changes, underscoring the wisdom of crowds in pricing political risk.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
マーケット開始日： Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ET
音量
$14,258終了日
2026/08/11マーケット開始日
Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Tyler Kistner's withdrawal from the MN-02 Republican primary on April 15, due to activation from the Marine Reserves for Middle East deployment and increased Pentagon duties, has propelled state Sen. Eric Pratt to 84.5% trader consensus as the presumptive nominee. Previously a competitive intraparty contest in this open battleground district—vacated by Rep. Angie Craig—with Kistner leveraging prior 2020 and 2022 nominations and recent straw poll victories like 66% in Scott County, Pratt now stands unopposed ahead of the August 11 primary. Residual 8.5% on Kistner reflects minor uncertainty over potential late entrants or procedural changes, underscoring the wisdom of crowds in pricing political risk.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$14,258終了日
2026/08/11マーケット開始日
Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tyler Kistner's withdrawal from the MN-02 Republican primary on April 15, due to activation from the Marine Reserves for Middle East deployment and increased Pentagon duties, has propelled state Sen. Eric Pratt to 84.5% trader consensus as the presumptive nominee. Previously a competitive intraparty contest in this open battleground district—vacated by Rep. Angie Craig—with Kistner leveraging prior 2020 and 2022 nominations and recent straw poll victories like 66% in Scott County, Pratt now stands unopposed ahead of the August 11 primary. Residual 8.5% on Kistner reflects minor uncertainty over potential late entrants or procedural changes, underscoring the wisdom of crowds in pricing political risk.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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