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政治·米国選挙

OH-01 Republican Primary Winner

Market icon
政治·米国選挙

OH-01 Republican Primary Winner

Eric Conroy 68%

Rosemary Oglesby-Henry 29%

Steven Erbeck 19%

Holly Adams 12%

Polymarket
NEW

$11,820 Vol.

Eric Conroy 68%

Rosemary Oglesby-Henry 29%

Steven Erbeck 19%

Holly Adams 12%

Polymarket
NEW

$11,820 Vol.

Eric Conroy

$11,820 Vol.

68%

Rosemary Oglesby-Henry

$0 Vol.

29%

Steven Erbeck

$0 Vol.

19%

Holly Adams

$0 Vol.

12%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Eric Conroy leads trader consensus at 58% implied probability in the OH-01 Republican primary, reflecting his superior fundraising—over $500,000 raised per recent FEC reports—and endorsements from influential local GOP figures, bolstering his frontrunner status against Democratic incumbent Greg Landsman. Rosemary Oglesby-Henry at 28.5% benefits from strong grassroots support in Hamilton County, while Steven Erbeck (24.5%) and Holly Adams (11.5%) lag amid limited polling data and visibility. No major developments in the past 48 hours, but Q3 finance disclosures last week solidified Conroy's financial edge; upcoming candidate forums and potential national endorsements ahead of the March 2026 primary could shift dynamics in this open field.

Eric Conroy leads trader consensus at 58% implied probability in the OH-01 Republican primary, reflecting his superior fundraising—over $500,000 raised per recent FEC reports—and endorsements from influential local GOP figures, bolstering his frontrunner status against Democratic incumbent Greg Landsman. Rosemary Oglesby-Henry at 28.5% benefits from strong grassroots support in Hamilton County, while Steven Erbeck (24.5%) and Holly Adams (11.5%) lag amid limited polling data and visibility. No major developments in the past 48 hours, but Q3 finance disclosures last week solidified Conroy's financial edge; upcoming candidate forums and potential national endorsements ahead of the March 2026 primary could shift dynamics in this open field.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Eric Conroy leads trader consensus at 58% implied probability in the OH-01 Republican primary, reflecting his superior fundraising—over $500,000 raised per recent FEC reports—and endorsements from influential local GOP figures, bolstering his frontrunner status against Democratic incumbent Greg Landsman. Rosemary Oglesby-Henry at 28.5% benefits from strong grassroots support in Hamilton County, while Steven Erbeck (24.5%) and Holly Adams (11.5%) lag amid limited polling data and visibility. No major developments in the past 48 hours, but Q3 finance disclosures last week solidified Conroy's financial edge; upcoming candidate forums and potential national endorsements ahead of the March 2026 primary could shift dynamics in this open field.

Eric Conroy leads trader consensus at 58% implied probability in the OH-01 Republican primary, reflecting his superior fundraising—over $500,000 raised per recent FEC reports—and endorsements from influential local GOP figures, bolstering his frontrunner status against Democratic incumbent Greg Landsman. Rosemary Oglesby-Henry at 28.5% benefits from strong grassroots support in Hamilton County, while Steven Erbeck (24.5%) and Holly Adams (11.5%) lag amid limited polling data and visibility. No major developments in the past 48 hours, but Q3 finance disclosures last week solidified Conroy's financial edge; upcoming candidate forums and potential national endorsements ahead of the March 2026 primary could shift dynamics in this open field.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「OH-01 Republican Primary Winner」はPolymarket上の4個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Eric Conroy」で68%、次いで「Rosemary Oglesby-Henry」が28%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、68¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に68%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「OH-01 Republican Primary Winner」は$11.8Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Mar 26, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「OH-01 Republican Primary Winner」で取引するには、このページに記載されている4個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「OH-01 Republican Primary Winner」の現在のフロントランナーは「Eric Conroy」で68%であり、市場がこの結果に68%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Rosemary Oglesby-Henry」で28%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「OH-01 Republican Primary Winner」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。