Louisiana's solidly Republican electorate and the party's dominance in statewide contests since 2008 underpin the Republican nominee's commanding position in the November general election for the open U.S. Senate seat. Julia Letlow secured the nomination after defeating incumbent Bill Cassidy in the May primary and John Fleming in the June runoff, aided by President Trump's endorsement and Governor Jeff Landry's support. Democrat Jamie Davis emerged from a low-turnout primary but faces structural headwinds in a state Trump carried by 22 points in 2024. Trader consensus at 92.5% Republican reflects these fundamentals and limited recent polling movement. A major scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan realignment could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain rare in this environment.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$35,032 Vol.
$35,032 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
93%
民主党
7%
$35,032 Vol.
$35,032 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
$13,735 Vol.
93%
民主党
$21,296 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Louisiana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Louisiana's solidly Republican electorate and the party's dominance in statewide contests since 2008 underpin the Republican nominee's commanding position in the November general election for the open U.S. Senate seat. Julia Letlow secured the nomination after defeating incumbent Bill Cassidy in the May primary and John Fleming in the June runoff, aided by President Trump's endorsement and Governor Jeff Landry's support. Democrat Jamie Davis emerged from a low-turnout primary but faces structural headwinds in a state Trump carried by 22 points in 2024. Trader consensus at 92.5% Republican reflects these fundamentals and limited recent polling movement. A major scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan realignment could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain rare in this environment.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Louisiana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
音量
$35,032終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Louisiana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Louisiana's solidly Republican electorate and the party's dominance in statewide contests since 2008 underpin the Republican nominee's commanding position in the November general election for the open U.S. Senate seat. Julia Letlow secured the nomination after defeating incumbent Bill Cassidy in the May primary and John Fleming in the June runoff, aided by President Trump's endorsement and Governor Jeff Landry's support. Democrat Jamie Davis emerged from a low-turnout primary but faces structural headwinds in a state Trump carried by 22 points in 2024. Trader consensus at 92.5% Republican reflects these fundamentals and limited recent polling movement. A major scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan realignment could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain rare in this environment.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Louisiana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$35,032終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Louisiana's solidly Republican electorate and the party's dominance in statewide contests since 2008 underpin the Republican nominee's commanding position in the November general election for the open U.S. Senate seat. Julia Letlow secured the nomination after defeating incumbent Bill Cassidy in the May primary and John Fleming in the June runoff, aided by President Trump's endorsement and Governor Jeff Landry's support. Democrat Jamie Davis emerged from a low-turnout primary but faces structural headwinds in a state Trump carried by 22 points in 2024. Trader consensus at 92.5% Republican reflects these fundamentals and limited recent polling movement. A major scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan realignment could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain rare in this environment.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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