Anthropic released Claude Opus 4.7 on April 16, its most capable generally available large language model, boasting major gains in autonomous coding (13% lift on a 93-task benchmark), vision processing, and long-horizon agentic tasks over Opus 4.6. The model was promptly added to LMSYS Chatbot Arena's Battle mode, kickstarting crowdsourced Elo ratings that power the public leaderboard—traders view this rapid integration as a strong signal for a competitive debut, building on Opus 4.6's prior top Elo around 1500. Amid fierce rivalry with OpenAI's GPT-5.x and Google's Gemini, key benchmarks like SWE-Bench Pro underscore its edge in software engineering. Watch accumulating user votes over the next days for official leaderboard placement and potential Elo thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日1480以上
95%
1500以上
53%
1520以上
46%
$8,324 Vol.
1480以上
95%
1500以上
53%
1520以上
46%
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If no qualifying score for the specified model is available on the Arena.AI Leaderboard at 12:00 PM ET following the date of the release, this market will resolve based on the first subsequent instance at which such a score becomes available on the leaderboard. If no qualifying score becomes available by the end of the seventh day following the day of the model’s release, or if no qualifying model release by Anthropic occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET following the date of the release, this market will resolve based on the first subsequent instance at which such a score becomes available on the leaderboard. If it remains unavailable through the end of the seventh day after a qualifying release, it will resolve to "No".
マーケット開始日: Apr 16, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If no qualifying score for the specified model is available on the Arena.AI Leaderboard at 12:00 PM ET following the date of the release, this market will resolve based on the first subsequent instance at which such a score becomes available on the leaderboard. If no qualifying score becomes available by the end of the seventh day following the day of the model’s release, or if no qualifying model release by Anthropic occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET following the date of the release, this market will resolve based on the first subsequent instance at which such a score becomes available on the leaderboard. If it remains unavailable through the end of the seventh day after a qualifying release, it will resolve to "No".
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic released Claude Opus 4.7 on April 16, its most capable generally available large language model, boasting major gains in autonomous coding (13% lift on a 93-task benchmark), vision processing, and long-horizon agentic tasks over Opus 4.6. The model was promptly added to LMSYS Chatbot Arena's Battle mode, kickstarting crowdsourced Elo ratings that power the public leaderboard—traders view this rapid integration as a strong signal for a competitive debut, building on Opus 4.6's prior top Elo around 1500. Amid fierce rivalry with OpenAI's GPT-5.x and Google's Gemini, key benchmarks like SWE-Bench Pro underscore its edge in software engineering. Watch accumulating user votes over the next days for official leaderboard placement and potential Elo thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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