Provisional results from Benin's April 12, 2026, presidential election show Finance Minister Romuald Wadagni securing over 94% of votes, prompting sole opposition candidate Paul Hounkpè's concession and driving trader consensus to 98.5% implied probability for Wadagni as next president. International observers commended the poll's transparency following January's parliamentary elections, where Talon allies dominated amid opposition exclusion. As incumbent Patrice Talon's favored successor, Wadagni benefits from ruling coalition strength and no runoff trigger. While awaiting official certification by the electoral commission, scenarios like legal challenges or irregularities claims could theoretically shift odds, though the landslide margin renders them improbable absent major disruptions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$29,908 Vol.
$29,908 Vol.
2026/04/12
ロミュアルド・ワダニ
98%
ポール・フンクペ
<1%
$29,908 Vol.
$29,908 Vol.
2026/04/12
ロミュアルド・ワダニ
$20,544 Vol.
98%
ポール・フンクペ
$9,364 Vol.
<1%
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Benin on 12 April 2026, with a potential runoff to be held within 15 days if no candidate secures an absolute majority.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally declared elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such President is elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Benin and the relevant electoral authorities of Benin, including the Autonomous National Electoral Commission (https://www.cena.bj/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Provisional results from Benin's April 12, 2026, presidential election show Finance Minister Romuald Wadagni securing over 94% of votes, prompting sole opposition candidate Paul Hounkpè's concession and driving trader consensus to 98.5% implied probability for Wadagni as next president. International observers commended the poll's transparency following January's parliamentary elections, where Talon allies dominated amid opposition exclusion. As incumbent Patrice Talon's favored successor, Wadagni benefits from ruling coalition strength and no runoff trigger. While awaiting official certification by the electoral commission, scenarios like legal challenges or irregularities claims could theoretically shift odds, though the landslide margin renders them improbable absent major disruptions.
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Benin on 12 April 2026, with a potential runoff to be held within 15 days if no candidate secures an absolute majority.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally declared elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such President is elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Benin and the relevant electoral authorities of Benin, including the Autonomous National Electoral Commission (https://www.cena.bj/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally declared elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such President is elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Benin and the relevant electoral authorities of Benin, including the Autonomous National Electoral Commission (https://www.cena.bj/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Mar 19, 2026, 7:17 PM ET
音量
$29,908終了日
2026/04/12マーケット開始日
Mar 19, 2026, 7:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Benin on 12 April 2026, with a potential runoff to be held within 15 days if no candidate secures an absolute majority.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally declared elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such President is elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Benin and the relevant electoral authorities of Benin, including the Autonomous National Electoral Commission (https://www.cena.bj/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Provisional results from Benin's April 12, 2026, presidential election show Finance Minister Romuald Wadagni securing over 94% of votes, prompting sole opposition candidate Paul Hounkpè's concession and driving trader consensus to 98.5% implied probability for Wadagni as next president. International observers commended the poll's transparency following January's parliamentary elections, where Talon allies dominated amid opposition exclusion. As incumbent Patrice Talon's favored successor, Wadagni benefits from ruling coalition strength and no runoff trigger. While awaiting official certification by the electoral commission, scenarios like legal challenges or irregularities claims could theoretically shift odds, though the landslide margin renders them improbable absent major disruptions.
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Benin on 12 April 2026, with a potential runoff to be held within 15 days if no candidate secures an absolute majority.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally declared elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such President is elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Benin and the relevant electoral authorities of Benin, including the Autonomous National Electoral Commission (https://www.cena.bj/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally declared elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such President is elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Benin and the relevant electoral authorities of Benin, including the Autonomous National Electoral Commission (https://www.cena.bj/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$29,908終了日
2026/04/12マーケット開始日
Mar 19, 2026, 7:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Provisional results from Benin's April 12, 2026, presidential election show Finance Minister Romuald Wadagni securing over 94% of votes, prompting sole opposition candidate Paul Hounkpè's concession and driving trader consensus to 98.5% implied probability for Wadagni as next president. International observers commended the poll's transparency following January's parliamentary elections, where Talon allies dominated amid opposition exclusion. As incumbent Patrice Talon's favored successor, Wadagni benefits from ruling coalition strength and no runoff trigger. While awaiting official certification by the electoral commission, scenarios like legal challenges or irregularities claims could theoretically shift odds, though the landslide margin renders them improbable absent major disruptions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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