SpaceX (SPCX) shares, trading near $140 following its June 2026 IPO at $135, reflect intense post-listing volatility that has kept week-ahead closing probabilities tightly clustered across price bins. Recent Q2 results showed revenue outperformance but highlighted $28.5 billion in first-half capital spending and negative free cash flow, pressuring the stock after an initial pop above $2 trillion market cap. Ongoing insider share unlocks have increased float, while wide analyst dispersion—from Morningstar’s $62 fair value to higher targets exceeding $300—underscores uncertainty around revenue multiples near 100x trailing sales amid heavy capex and competitive execution risks. Trader consensus prices in these crosscurrents without strong directional conviction ahead of the Aug 17 week close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$135〜$140 21%
$130〜$135 20%
$140〜$145 20%
$145〜$150 16%
新規
新規
2026/08/21
120ドル未満
11%
120～125ドル
8%
$125-$130
10%
$130〜$135
20%
$135〜$140
21%
$140〜$145
20%
$145〜$150
16%
$150-$155
9%
$155〜$160
7%
$160〜$165
11%
165ドル超
9%
$135〜$140 21%
$130〜$135 20%
$140〜$145 20%
$145〜$150 16%
新規
新規
2026/08/21
120ドル未満
$0 Vol.
11%
120～125ドル
$0 Vol.
8%
$125-$130
$0 Vol.
10%
$130〜$135
$0 Vol.
20%
$135〜$140
$0 Vol.
21%
$140〜$145
$0 Vol.
20%
$145〜$150
$0 Vol.
16%
$150-$155
$0 Vol.
9%
$155〜$160
$0 Vol.
7%
$160〜$165
$0 Vol.
11%
165ドル超
$0 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the Close price for SpaceX (SPCX) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.SpaceX (SPCX) shares, trading near $140 following its June 2026 IPO at $135, reflect intense post-listing volatility that has kept week-ahead closing probabilities tightly clustered across price bins. Recent Q2 results showed revenue outperformance but highlighted $28.5 billion in first-half capital spending and negative free cash flow, pressuring the stock after an initial pop above $2 trillion market cap. Ongoing insider share unlocks have increased float, while wide analyst dispersion—from Morningstar’s $62 fair value to higher targets exceeding $300—underscores uncertainty around revenue multiples near 100x trailing sales amid heavy capex and competitive execution risks. Trader consensus prices in these crosscurrents without strong directional conviction ahead of the Aug 17 week close.
This market will resolve according to the Close price for SpaceX (SPCX) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.
マーケット開始日： Aug 16, 2026, 7:12 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/08/21マーケット開始日
Aug 16, 2026, 7:12 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the Close price for SpaceX (SPCX) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.SpaceX (SPCX) shares, trading near $140 following its June 2026 IPO at $135, reflect intense post-listing volatility that has kept week-ahead closing probabilities tightly clustered across price bins. Recent Q2 results showed revenue outperformance but highlighted $28.5 billion in first-half capital spending and negative free cash flow, pressuring the stock after an initial pop above $2 trillion market cap. Ongoing insider share unlocks have increased float, while wide analyst dispersion—from Morningstar’s $62 fair value to higher targets exceeding $300—underscores uncertainty around revenue multiples near 100x trailing sales amid heavy capex and competitive execution risks. Trader consensus prices in these crosscurrents without strong directional conviction ahead of the Aug 17 week close.
This market will resolve according to the Close price for SpaceX (SPCX) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.
音量
$0終了日
2026/08/21マーケット開始日
Aug 16, 2026, 7:12 PM ETSpaceX (SPCX) shares, trading near $140 following its June 2026 IPO at $135, reflect intense post-listing volatility that has kept week-ahead closing probabilities tightly clustered across price bins. Recent Q2 results showed revenue outperformance but highlighted $28.5 billion in first-half capital spending and negative free cash flow, pressuring the stock after an initial pop above $2 trillion market cap. Ongoing insider share unlocks have increased float, while wide analyst dispersion—from Morningstar’s $62 fair value to higher targets exceeding $300—underscores uncertainty around revenue multiples near 100x trailing sales amid heavy capex and competitive execution risks. Trader consensus prices in these crosscurrents without strong directional conviction ahead of the Aug 17 week close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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