Incumbent Sen. Shelley Moore Capito secured the Republican nomination for West Virginia's U.S. Senate seat by decisively winning the May 12, 2026, GOP primary, prompting traders to price her at 100% consensus probability. Facing five challengers, including state Sen. Tom Willis—a Green Beret veteran—and Parkersburg businessman Alexander Gaaserud, Capito leveraged her two prior terms, strong fundraising, and endorsements like former President Trump's to dominate from the outset. The Associated Press called the race shortly after polls closed, reflecting her overwhelming margin in this deep-red state. Reversal scenarios, such as a recount or legal challenge, appear remote given historical primary certification patterns and lack of reported irregularities, positioning her strongly for the November general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日シェリー・ムーア・キャピト 100.0%
トム・ウィリス <1%
アレクサンダー・ガーサルード <1%
$42,318 Vol.
$42,318 Vol.
トム・ウィリス
いいえ
アレクサンダー・ガーサルード
いいえ
シェリー・ムーア・キャピト
はい
シェリー・ムーア・キャピト 100.0%
トム・ウィリス <1%
アレクサンダー・ガーサルード <1%
$42,318 Vol.
$42,318 Vol.
トム・ウィリス
いいえ
アレクサンダー・ガーサルード
いいえ
シェリー・ムーア・キャピト
はい
If no 2026 West Virginia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the West Virginia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
マーケット開始日: Dec 2, 2025, 4:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
If no 2026 West Virginia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the West Virginia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Incumbent Sen. Shelley Moore Capito secured the Republican nomination for West Virginia's U.S. Senate seat by decisively winning the May 12, 2026, GOP primary, prompting traders to price her at 100% consensus probability. Facing five challengers, including state Sen. Tom Willis—a Green Beret veteran—and Parkersburg businessman Alexander Gaaserud, Capito leveraged her two prior terms, strong fundraising, and endorsements like former President Trump's to dominate from the outset. The Associated Press called the race shortly after polls closed, reflecting her overwhelming margin in this deep-red state. Reversal scenarios, such as a recount or legal challenge, appear remote given historical primary certification patterns and lack of reported irregularities, positioning her strongly for the November general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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