Market icon

4月8日に原油( CL )は何に決着しますか?

Market icon

4月8日に原油( CL )は何に決着しますか?

90~100ドル 100.0%

70ドル未満 <1%

$70〜$80 <1%

80〜90ドル <1%

Polymarket

$177,260 Vol.

90~100ドル 100.0%

70ドル未満 <1%

$70〜$80 <1%

80〜90ドル <1%

Polymarket

$177,260 Vol.

70ドル未満

$6,967 Vol.

いいえ

$70〜$80

$12,548 Vol.

いいえ

80〜90ドル

$58,128 Vol.

いいえ

90~100ドル

$35,770 Vol.

はい

$100~$110

$45,837 Vol.

いいえ

110ドル以上

$18,010 Vol.

いいえ

This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on April 8, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the relevant day is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month. For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Crude Oil (CL) settling in the $90–$100 range on April 8, 2026, driven by the official NYMEX front-month futures settlement at $96.62 per barrel—firmly within the bracket—following a dramatic 16% intraday plunge from highs above $110. This sharp reversal stemmed from President Trump's announcement of a two-week US-Iran ceasefire, easing geopolitical risk premiums tied to Strait of Hormuz disruptions and prior war escalations that had propelled prices to four-week peaks. Larger-than-expected US crude stock builds further pressured sentiment. With CME pricing finalized, resolution is certain barring an extraordinary data revision, an improbable event given standardized protocols.

This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on April 8, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the relevant day is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month.

For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.

Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.

Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.

This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.

The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
音量
$177,260
終了日
2026/04/08
マーケット開始日
Apr 7, 2026, 8:54 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on April 8, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the relevant day is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month. For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.

提案された結果: いいえ

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: いいえ

This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on April 8, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the relevant day is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month. For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Crude Oil (CL) settling in the $90–$100 range on April 8, 2026, driven by the official NYMEX front-month futures settlement at $96.62 per barrel—firmly within the bracket—following a dramatic 16% intraday plunge from highs above $110. This sharp reversal stemmed from President Trump's announcement of a two-week US-Iran ceasefire, easing geopolitical risk premiums tied to Strait of Hormuz disruptions and prior war escalations that had propelled prices to four-week peaks. Larger-than-expected US crude stock builds further pressured sentiment. With CME pricing finalized, resolution is certain barring an extraordinary data revision, an improbable event given standardized protocols.

This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on April 8, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the relevant day is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month.

For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.

Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.

Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.

This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.

The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
音量
$177,260
終了日
2026/04/08
マーケット開始日
Apr 7, 2026, 8:54 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on April 8, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the relevant day is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month. For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.

提案された結果: いいえ

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: いいえ

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「4月8日に原油( CL )は何に決着しますか?」はPolymarket上の6個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「90~100ドル」で100%、次いで「70ドル未満」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「4月8日に原油( CL )は何に決着しますか?」は$177.3Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Apr 8, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「4月8日に原油( CL )は何に決着しますか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている6個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「4月8日に原油( CL )は何に決着しますか?」の現在のフロントランナーは「90~100ドル」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「70ドル未満」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「4月8日に原油( CL )は何に決着しますか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。