OpenAI’s GPT-5 series, now at 5.6 with recent efficiency and reasoning updates rolled out in early August 2026, maintains strong positioning on major leaderboards, while Anthropic’s Claude 5 family—including Fable 5 and Opus 5 released in June–July—has captured top spots in coding and long-horizon agent benchmarks. Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro and 3.6 Flash variants, launched in July, emphasize token efficiency and multimodal performance but trail in several head-to-head evaluations. Traders are watching for any late-year frontier releases or benchmark shifts that could reorder the leaderboard before year-end, as frequent iteration cycles from the three leaders continue to compress capability gaps.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$98,036 Vol.
OpenAI
32%
20%
Meta
16%
アリババ
13%
ムーンショット
13%
xAI
13%
Z.ai
9%
DeepSeek
9%
ByteDance
8%
Amazon
8%
マイクロソフト
8%
百度
7%
Meituan
6%
ミストラル
3%
$98,036 Vol.
OpenAI
32%
20%
Meta
16%
アリババ
13%
ムーンショット
13%
xAI
13%
Z.ai
9%
DeepSeek
9%
ByteDance
8%
Amazon
8%
マイクロソフト
8%
百度
7%
Meituan
6%
ミストラル
3%
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena rank, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
マーケット開始日: Apr 30, 2026, 3:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena rank, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s GPT-5 series, now at 5.6 with recent efficiency and reasoning updates rolled out in early August 2026, maintains strong positioning on major leaderboards, while Anthropic’s Claude 5 family—including Fable 5 and Opus 5 released in June–July—has captured top spots in coding and long-horizon agent benchmarks. Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro and 3.6 Flash variants, launched in July, emphasize token efficiency and multimodal performance but trail in several head-to-head evaluations. Traders are watching for any late-year frontier releases or benchmark shifts that could reorder the leaderboard before year-end, as frequent iteration cycles from the three leaders continue to compress capability gaps.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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