Byron Donalds secured the Republican nomination in Florida’s August 18, 2026 gubernatorial primary, finishing well ahead of James Fishback and the other contenders. Fishback, a first-time candidate who had faced a residency challenge earlier in the summer and positioned himself as an outsider appealing to younger conservative voters, issued a post-election statement acknowledging the result while framing his broader agenda. Primary vote tallies and the frontrunner’s margin shaped trader views on the timing of any formal concession. Resolution hinges on whether Fishback’s public remarks meet the market’s precise definition of concession by the cutoff date, with any subsequent statements or campaign actions serving as the key variables before final certification.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$802 Vol.
2026/08/18
8月18日
はい
8月19日
はい
8月20日
はい
$802 Vol.
8月18日
$109 Vol.
はい
8月19日
$490 Vol.
はい
8月20日
$203 Vol.
はい
This market will resolve to "Yes" if James Fishback concedes in the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary by the specified date, at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary, will not be the Republican Nominee to be Governor of Florida, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from the relevant candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.
Only public statements from the relevant candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from James Fishback. Byron Donalds secured the Republican nomination in Florida’s August 18, 2026 gubernatorial primary, finishing well ahead of James Fishback and the other contenders. Fishback, a first-time candidate who had faced a residency challenge earlier in the summer and positioned himself as an outsider appealing to younger conservative voters, issued a post-election statement acknowledging the result while framing his broader agenda. Primary vote tallies and the frontrunner’s margin shaped trader views on the timing of any formal concession. Resolution hinges on whether Fishback’s public remarks meet the market’s precise definition of concession by the cutoff date, with any subsequent statements or campaign actions serving as the key variables before final certification.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if James Fishback concedes in the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary by the specified date, at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary, will not be the Republican Nominee to be Governor of Florida, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from the relevant candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.
Only public statements from the relevant candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from James Fishback.
A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary, will not be the Republican Nominee to be Governor of Florida, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from the relevant candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.
Only public statements from the relevant candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from James Fishback.
マーケット開始日： Aug 18, 2026, 3:36 PM ET
音量
$802終了日
2026/08/20マーケット開始日
Aug 18, 2026, 3:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...提案された結果: はい
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: はい
This market will resolve to "Yes" if James Fishback concedes in the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary by the specified date, at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary, will not be the Republican Nominee to be Governor of Florida, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from the relevant candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.
Only public statements from the relevant candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from James Fishback. Byron Donalds secured the Republican nomination in Florida’s August 18, 2026 gubernatorial primary, finishing well ahead of James Fishback and the other contenders. Fishback, a first-time candidate who had faced a residency challenge earlier in the summer and positioned himself as an outsider appealing to younger conservative voters, issued a post-election statement acknowledging the result while framing his broader agenda. Primary vote tallies and the frontrunner’s margin shaped trader views on the timing of any formal concession. Resolution hinges on whether Fishback’s public remarks meet the market’s precise definition of concession by the cutoff date, with any subsequent statements or campaign actions serving as the key variables before final certification.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if James Fishback concedes in the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary by the specified date, at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary, will not be the Republican Nominee to be Governor of Florida, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from the relevant candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.
Only public statements from the relevant candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from James Fishback.
A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary, will not be the Republican Nominee to be Governor of Florida, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from the relevant candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.
Only public statements from the relevant candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from James Fishback.
音量
$802終了日
2026/08/20マーケット開始日
Aug 18, 2026, 3:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...提案された結果: はい
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: はい
Byron Donalds secured the Republican nomination in Florida’s August 18, 2026 gubernatorial primary, finishing well ahead of James Fishback and the other contenders. Fishback, a first-time candidate who had faced a residency challenge earlier in the summer and positioned himself as an outsider appealing to younger conservative voters, issued a post-election statement acknowledging the result while framing his broader agenda. Primary vote tallies and the frontrunner’s margin shaped trader views on the timing of any formal concession. Resolution hinges on whether Fishback’s public remarks meet the market’s precise definition of concession by the cutoff date, with any subsequent statements or campaign actions serving as the key variables before final certification.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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