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地政学·ロシア

Will Putin visit China by May 31?

Market icon
地政学·ロシア

Will Putin visit China by May 31?

77% 確率
Polymarket
新規

$11,111 Vol.

77% 確率
Polymarket
新規

$11,111 Vol.

If Vladimir Putin visits China by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Putin physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Whether or not Putin enters Chinese airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Vladimir Putin, the Federal Government of Russia, and the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Kremlin spokesperson Yuri Ushakov confirmed in early February 2026 that President Vladimir Putin accepted President Xi Jinping's invitation for an official visit to China during the first half of the year, following their videoconference talks on deepening bilateral strategic partnership amid global tensions. Recent statements from Russian Foreign Ministry officials on March 23–24 indicated preparations are advancing, with dates to be announced "in the near future," fueling trader consensus at 73.5% for Yes by May 31. Reports suggest the trip may follow U.S. President Trump's planned visit, underscoring Beijing-Moscow diplomacy to counter Western pressures, though exact scheduling remains unconfirmed and subject to geopolitical shifts like Ukraine developments or security concerns.

If Vladimir Putin visits China by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Putin physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Whether or not Putin enters Chinese airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Vladimir Putin, the Federal Government of Russia, and the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$11,111
終了日
2026/05/31
マーケット開始日
Apr 1, 2026, 3:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
If Vladimir Putin visits China by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Putin physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Whether or not Putin enters Chinese airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Vladimir Putin, the Federal Government of Russia, and the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If Vladimir Putin visits China by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Putin physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Whether or not Putin enters Chinese airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Vladimir Putin, the Federal Government of Russia, and the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Kremlin spokesperson Yuri Ushakov confirmed in early February 2026 that President Vladimir Putin accepted President Xi Jinping's invitation for an official visit to China during the first half of the year, following their videoconference talks on deepening bilateral strategic partnership amid global tensions. Recent statements from Russian Foreign Ministry officials on March 23–24 indicated preparations are advancing, with dates to be announced "in the near future," fueling trader consensus at 73.5% for Yes by May 31. Reports suggest the trip may follow U.S. President Trump's planned visit, underscoring Beijing-Moscow diplomacy to counter Western pressures, though exact scheduling remains unconfirmed and subject to geopolitical shifts like Ukraine developments or security concerns.

If Vladimir Putin visits China by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Putin physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Whether or not Putin enters Chinese airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Vladimir Putin, the Federal Government of Russia, and the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$11,111
終了日
2026/05/31
マーケット開始日
Apr 1, 2026, 3:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
If Vladimir Putin visits China by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Putin physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Whether or not Putin enters Chinese airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Vladimir Putin, the Federal Government of Russia, and the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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よくある質問

「Will Putin visit China by May 31?」はPolymarket上の予測市場で、トレーダーがこのイベントが起こるかどうかに基づいて「はい」または「いいえ」のシェアを売買します。コミュニティによる現在の確率は「Yes」に対して77%です。例えば、「はい」が77¢で取引されている場合、市場はこのイベントが発生する確率を77%と集合的に評価しています。これらのオッズはトレーダーが新しい展開や情報に反応するにつれて継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Will Putin visit China by May 31?」は$11.1Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Apr 1, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Will Putin visit China by May 31?」で取引するには、答えが「はい」か「いいえ」かを選ぶだけです。各側には市場の暗示確率を反映する現在の価格があります。金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。「はい」のシェアを購入し、結果が「はい」と決まった場合、各シェアは$1を支払います。「いいえ」と決まった場合、「はい」のシェアは$0を支払います。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却して利益を確定したり、損失を抑えたりすることもできます。

「Will Putin visit China by May 31?」の現在の確率は「Yes」に対して77%です。これはPolymarketコミュニティがこのイベントの発生確率を77%と現在評価していることを意味します。これらのオッズは実際の取引に基づいてリアルタイムで更新され、市場の期待を継続的に反映するシグナルを提供します。

「Will Putin visit China by May 31?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。