Ukraine’s 3rd Army Corps has retaken 150–240 square kilometers north of Lyman since May 2026, dismantling an 18-month Russian salient and logistical preparations for a northern approach to Sloviansk. This counteroffensive has shifted momentum in the sector and reduced the immediate threat of encirclement or rapid ground advances toward the city. Russian forces continue small-unit infiltrations, glide-bomb strikes, and drone attacks on Sloviansk itself, producing civilian casualties and prompting evacuations, yet have recorded only incremental progress east of the fortress-belt cities. Ukrainian units report repelling mechanized probes and maintain defensive lines around Kramatorsk and Sloviansk. Traders assessing capture timelines weigh these localized Ukrainian gains against Russia’s sustained artillery and air pressure, with resolution hinging on whether either side achieves a decisive breakthrough before any specified market deadline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$450,417 Vol.
12月31日
5%
$450,417 Vol.
12月31日
5%
The railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Train station location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/slovyansk+train+station+zoom.png
Train station Location in Sloviansk: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/slovyansk+train+station.jpeg
Sloviansk Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/slovyansk.jpeg
Location on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/FnDJ8Xur2CzKvGC76?g_st=isi
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 24, 2026, 8:19 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x65070BE91...The railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Train station location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/slovyansk+train+station+zoom.png
Train station Location in Sloviansk: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/slovyansk+train+station.jpeg
Sloviansk Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/slovyansk.jpeg
Location on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/FnDJ8Xur2CzKvGC76?g_st=isi
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
リゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Ukraine’s 3rd Army Corps has retaken 150–240 square kilometers north of Lyman since May 2026, dismantling an 18-month Russian salient and logistical preparations for a northern approach to Sloviansk. This counteroffensive has shifted momentum in the sector and reduced the immediate threat of encirclement or rapid ground advances toward the city. Russian forces continue small-unit infiltrations, glide-bomb strikes, and drone attacks on Sloviansk itself, producing civilian casualties and prompting evacuations, yet have recorded only incremental progress east of the fortress-belt cities. Ukrainian units report repelling mechanized probes and maintain defensive lines around Kramatorsk and Sloviansk. Traders assessing capture timelines weigh these localized Ukrainian gains against Russia’s sustained artillery and air pressure, with resolution hinging on whether either side achieves a decisive breakthrough before any specified market deadline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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