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トランプ大統領はスペインとの貿易を断ち切るのか?

Market icon

トランプ大統領はスペインとの貿易を断ち切るのか?

はい

2% chance
Polymarket

$212,987 Vol.

はい

2% chance
Polymarket

$212,987 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action (including executive orders, proclamations, and memoranda) that orders, directs, or enacts a comprehensive ban on imports and exports between the United States and Spain by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

An official announcement, made within this market’s timeframe, from the Trump Administration that a concrete policy to comprehensively ban imports and exports between the US and Spain will definitively be implemented, without such legislation or executive action, will also suffice for a “Yes” resolution. Such an announcement must be tied to a specific policy or set of actions being implemented; mere public statements that a ban will be implemented will not qualify.

A comprehensive ban on imports and exports between the United States and Spain is defined as any trade ban or embargo that applies broadly to imports and exports between the US and Spain. Limited exceptions for certain categories of imports and exports will not disqualify a ban from counting, provided the ban applies generally to US-Spain imports and exports. Bans or embargoes which apply only to a limited subset of U.S.-Spain trade, or tariffs, sanctions, or other punitive trade measures which do not constitute a comprehensive ban on imports or exports between the US and Spain, will not count.

A qualifying ban which is ordered, enacted, or announced within this market’s timeframe will qualify, regardless of when it is scheduled to be implemented or if it is blocked or invalidated prior to implementation.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump Administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$212,987
終了日
Mar 31, 2026
マーケット開始日
Mar 3, 2026, 3:06 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action (including executive orders, proclamations, and memoranda) that orders, directs, or enacts a comprehensive ban on imports and exports between the United States and Spain by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. An official announcement, made within this market’s timeframe, from the Trump Administration that a concrete policy to comprehensively ban imports and exports between the US and Spain will definitively be implemented, without such legislation or executive action, will also suffice for a “Yes” resolution. Such an announcement must be tied to a specific policy or set of actions being implemented; mere public statements that a ban will be implemented will not qualify. A comprehensive ban on imports and exports between the United States and Spain is defined as any trade ban or embargo that applies broadly to imports and exports between the US and Spain. Limited exceptions for certain categories of imports and exports will not disqualify a ban from counting, provided the ban applies generally to US-Spain imports and exports. Bans or embargoes which apply only to a limited subset of U.S.-Spain trade, or tariffs, sanctions, or other punitive trade measures which do not constitute a comprehensive ban on imports or exports between the US and Spain, will not count. A qualifying ban which is ordered, enacted, or announced within this market’s timeframe will qualify, regardless of when it is scheduled to be implemented or if it is blocked or invalidated prior to implementation. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump Administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action (including executive orders, proclamations, and memoranda) that orders, directs, or enacts a comprehensive ban on imports and exports between the United States and Spain by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

An official announcement, made within this market’s timeframe, from the Trump Administration that a concrete policy to comprehensively ban imports and exports between the US and Spain will definitively be implemented, without such legislation or executive action, will also suffice for a “Yes” resolution. Such an announcement must be tied to a specific policy or set of actions being implemented; mere public statements that a ban will be implemented will not qualify.

A comprehensive ban on imports and exports between the United States and Spain is defined as any trade ban or embargo that applies broadly to imports and exports between the US and Spain. Limited exceptions for certain categories of imports and exports will not disqualify a ban from counting, provided the ban applies generally to US-Spain imports and exports. Bans or embargoes which apply only to a limited subset of U.S.-Spain trade, or tariffs, sanctions, or other punitive trade measures which do not constitute a comprehensive ban on imports or exports between the US and Spain, will not count.

A qualifying ban which is ordered, enacted, or announced within this market’s timeframe will qualify, regardless of when it is scheduled to be implemented or if it is blocked or invalidated prior to implementation.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump Administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$212,987
終了日
Mar 31, 2026
マーケット開始日
Mar 3, 2026, 3:06 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action (including executive orders, proclamations, and memoranda) that orders, directs, or enacts a comprehensive ban on imports and exports between the United States and Spain by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. An official announcement, made within this market’s timeframe, from the Trump Administration that a concrete policy to comprehensively ban imports and exports between the US and Spain will definitively be implemented, without such legislation or executive action, will also suffice for a “Yes” resolution. Such an announcement must be tied to a specific policy or set of actions being implemented; mere public statements that a ban will be implemented will not qualify. A comprehensive ban on imports and exports between the United States and Spain is defined as any trade ban or embargo that applies broadly to imports and exports between the US and Spain. Limited exceptions for certain categories of imports and exports will not disqualify a ban from counting, provided the ban applies generally to US-Spain imports and exports. Bans or embargoes which apply only to a limited subset of U.S.-Spain trade, or tariffs, sanctions, or other punitive trade measures which do not constitute a comprehensive ban on imports or exports between the US and Spain, will not count. A qualifying ban which is ordered, enacted, or announced within this market’s timeframe will qualify, regardless of when it is scheduled to be implemented or if it is blocked or invalidated prior to implementation. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump Administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「トランプ大統領はスペインとの貿易を断ち切るのか?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「トランプはスペインとの貿易を断絶しますか?」で2%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、2¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に2%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「トランプ大統領はスペインとの貿易を断ち切るのか?」は$213Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Mar 3, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「トランプ大統領はスペインとの貿易を断ち切るのか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

これは非常に拮抗した市場です。「トランプ大統領はスペインとの貿易を断ち切るのか?」の現在のリーダーは「トランプはスペインとの貿易を断絶しますか?」でわずか2%です。どの結果も強い多数派を占めていないため、トレーダーはこれを非常に不確実と見ており、独自の取引機会を提供する可能性があります。これらのオッズはリアルタイムで更新されますので、このページをブックマークしてください。

「トランプ大統領はスペインとの貿易を断ち切るのか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。