The dominant market consensus around an 85–90 cumulative flu hospitalization rate for Week 19, 2026, reflects CDC FluSurv-NET data showing the rate climbing steadily through spring before plateauing near 85 per 100,000 population by mid-May. This positioning stems from the sharp seasonal decline in influenza transmission as warmer temperatures reduce viral stability and community mixing, with weekly rates dropping to minimal levels after the winter peak driven largely by influenza A(H3N2). Historical patterns confirm that late-season additions rarely exceed a few points once activity falls below epidemic thresholds. Only an unforeseen late surge or major reporting revisions could shift the final figure outside this band, though current surveillance trends make such outcomes improbable before the CDC’s official release.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 19, 2026?
85–90 100.0%
<80 <1%
80–85 <1%
90–95 <1%
$18,757 거래량
$18,757 거래량
<80
No
80–85
No
85–90
Yes
90–95
No
95–100
No
100+
No
85–90 100.0%
<80 <1%
80–85 <1%
90–95 <1%
$18,757 거래량
$18,757 거래량
<80
No
80–85
No
85–90
Yes
90–95
No
95–100
No
100+
No
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
마켓 개설일: May 14, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
The dominant market consensus around an 85–90 cumulative flu hospitalization rate for Week 19, 2026, reflects CDC FluSurv-NET data showing the rate climbing steadily through spring before plateauing near 85 per 100,000 population by mid-May. This positioning stems from the sharp seasonal decline in influenza transmission as warmer temperatures reduce viral stability and community mixing, with weekly rates dropping to minimal levels after the winter peak driven largely by influenza A(H3N2). Historical patterns confirm that late-season additions rarely exceed a few points once activity falls below epidemic thresholds. Only an unforeseen late surge or major reporting revisions could shift the final figure outside this band, though current surveillance trends make such outcomes improbable before the CDC’s official release.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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