No at 90.5% reflects the absence of any disease achieving sustained human-to-human transmission capable of global spread through mid-2026. Official monitoring by WHO and CDC shows recent Ebola and hantavirus events remain regionally contained or travel-linked without pandemic-scale growth, while H5N1 avian influenza lacks confirmed efficient person-to-person spread despite ongoing surveillance for genetic changes. Enhanced post-COVID preparedness, including improved diagnostics and early-warning systems, further supports trader consensus. A realistic challenge could arise from rapid viral evolution enabling airborne transmission of a zoonotic pathogen or unexpected escalation of filovirus outbreaks beyond current containment thresholds.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$744,565 거래량
$744,565 거래량
예
$744,565 거래량
$744,565 거래량
The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.
마켓 개설일: Dec 1, 2025, 4:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...No at 90.5% reflects the absence of any disease achieving sustained human-to-human transmission capable of global spread through mid-2026. Official monitoring by WHO and CDC shows recent Ebola and hantavirus events remain regionally contained or travel-linked without pandemic-scale growth, while H5N1 avian influenza lacks confirmed efficient person-to-person spread despite ongoing surveillance for genetic changes. Enhanced post-COVID preparedness, including improved diagnostics and early-warning systems, further supports trader consensus. A realistic challenge could arise from rapid viral evolution enabling airborne transmission of a zoonotic pathogen or unexpected escalation of filovirus outbreaks beyond current containment thresholds.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문