Incumbent Sen. Jim Risch holds a commanding 97% implied probability in the Idaho Republican Senate primary on May 19, driven by his long tenure since 2008, superior name recognition, and overwhelming fundraising edge with nearly $3.9 million cash on hand as of late 2025 compared to challengers Joe Evans, Denny LaVe, and Josh Roy's negligible resources. Absentee ballots began mailing in early April, yet no polls or endorsements indicate traction for challengers, reinforcing historical incumbency advantages in Idaho's conservative primaries. Scenarios that could shift odds include a major scandal, health issue for Risch, or surprise party backing for a rival, though trader consensus views these as remote ahead of election day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.05.19
Jim Risch
97%
Joe Evans
1%
신규
신규
2026.05.19
Jim Risch
$9,163 거래량
97%
Joe Evans
$0 거래량
1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Idaho.
If no 2026 Idaho Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Idaho Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Sen. Jim Risch holds a commanding 97% implied probability in the Idaho Republican Senate primary on May 19, driven by his long tenure since 2008, superior name recognition, and overwhelming fundraising edge with nearly $3.9 million cash on hand as of late 2025 compared to challengers Joe Evans, Denny LaVe, and Josh Roy's negligible resources. Absentee ballots began mailing in early April, yet no polls or endorsements indicate traction for challengers, reinforcing historical incumbency advantages in Idaho's conservative primaries. Scenarios that could shift odds include a major scandal, health issue for Risch, or surprise party backing for a rival, though trader consensus views these as remote ahead of election day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Idaho.
If no 2026 Idaho Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Idaho Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 Idaho Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Idaho Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
마켓 개설일: Dec 2, 2025, 6:49 PM ET
거래량
$9,163종료일
2026.05.19마켓 개설일
Dec 2, 2025, 6:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Idaho.
If no 2026 Idaho Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Idaho Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Sen. Jim Risch holds a commanding 97% implied probability in the Idaho Republican Senate primary on May 19, driven by his long tenure since 2008, superior name recognition, and overwhelming fundraising edge with nearly $3.9 million cash on hand as of late 2025 compared to challengers Joe Evans, Denny LaVe, and Josh Roy's negligible resources. Absentee ballots began mailing in early April, yet no polls or endorsements indicate traction for challengers, reinforcing historical incumbency advantages in Idaho's conservative primaries. Scenarios that could shift odds include a major scandal, health issue for Risch, or surprise party backing for a rival, though trader consensus views these as remote ahead of election day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Idaho.
If no 2026 Idaho Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Idaho Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 Idaho Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Idaho Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
거래량
$9,163종료일
2026.05.19마켓 개설일
Dec 2, 2025, 6:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Sen. Jim Risch holds a commanding 97% implied probability in the Idaho Republican Senate primary on May 19, driven by his long tenure since 2008, superior name recognition, and overwhelming fundraising edge with nearly $3.9 million cash on hand as of late 2025 compared to challengers Joe Evans, Denny LaVe, and Josh Roy's negligible resources. Absentee ballots began mailing in early April, yet no polls or endorsements indicate traction for challengers, reinforcing historical incumbency advantages in Idaho's conservative primaries. Scenarios that could shift odds include a major scandal, health issue for Risch, or surprise party backing for a rival, though trader consensus views these as remote ahead of election day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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