Incumbent Democratic Gov. Laura Kelly's term limit creates an open seat in solidly Republican Kansas, where GOP supermajorities control the legislature and ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball tilt Lean Republican, driving trader consensus to 67.5% for a Republican winner. Recent GOP overrides of Kelly's vetoes on election and welfare bills underscore legislative dominance, bolstering party momentum ahead of the August 4 primaries. Crowded Republican field features former Gov. Jeff Colyer and Senate President Ty Masterson tied at 43% in prediction markets, while Democrats see Sen. Cindy Holscher leading early polls over Sen. Ethan Corson. With filing deadline June 1 and general election November 3, no recent general polls shift the GOP-favored baseline.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
Republican
67%

Democrat
31%

Republican
67%

Democrat
31%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Gov. Laura Kelly's term limit creates an open seat in solidly Republican Kansas, where GOP supermajorities control the legislature and ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball tilt Lean Republican, driving trader consensus to 67.5% for a Republican winner. Recent GOP overrides of Kelly's vetoes on election and welfare bills underscore legislative dominance, bolstering party momentum ahead of the August 4 primaries. Crowded Republican field features former Gov. Jeff Colyer and Senate President Ty Masterson tied at 43% in prediction markets, while Democrats see Sen. Cindy Holscher leading early polls over Sen. Ethan Corson. With filing deadline June 1 and general election November 3, no recent general polls shift the GOP-favored baseline.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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