Kansas's 2026 gubernatorial contest is an open-seat race after Democratic incumbent Laura Kelly reached her term limit. The state’s partisan lean, reflected in its 2024 presidential margin and consistent Republican performance in down-ballot contests, underpins trader consensus favoring the eventual Republican nominee at 67 percent. Primary filing closed June 1, 2026, with Senate President Ty Masterson emerging as the clearest Republican frontrunner after securing an endorsement from President Trump; Democrats face a more fragmented field led by state senators Cindy Holscher and Ethan Corson ahead of the August 4 primaries. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the general election Lean Republican, citing structural barriers to a third consecutive Democratic win. Limited early polling and the absence of general-election matchups keep probabilities sensitive to nominee selection and any shifts in turnout patterns between now and November 3.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican
67%
Democrat
31%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican
$2,544 거래량
67%
Democrat
$4,517 거래량
31%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Kansas's 2026 gubernatorial contest is an open-seat race after Democratic incumbent Laura Kelly reached her term limit. The state’s partisan lean, reflected in its 2024 presidential margin and consistent Republican performance in down-ballot contests, underpins trader consensus favoring the eventual Republican nominee at 67 percent. Primary filing closed June 1, 2026, with Senate President Ty Masterson emerging as the clearest Republican frontrunner after securing an endorsement from President Trump; Democrats face a more fragmented field led by state senators Cindy Holscher and Ethan Corson ahead of the August 4 primaries. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the general election Lean Republican, citing structural barriers to a third consecutive Democratic win. Limited early polling and the absence of general-election matchups keep probabilities sensitive to nominee selection and any shifts in turnout patterns between now and November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
거래량
$7,061종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Kansas's 2026 gubernatorial contest is an open-seat race after Democratic incumbent Laura Kelly reached her term limit. The state’s partisan lean, reflected in its 2024 presidential margin and consistent Republican performance in down-ballot contests, underpins trader consensus favoring the eventual Republican nominee at 67 percent. Primary filing closed June 1, 2026, with Senate President Ty Masterson emerging as the clearest Republican frontrunner after securing an endorsement from President Trump; Democrats face a more fragmented field led by state senators Cindy Holscher and Ethan Corson ahead of the August 4 primaries. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the general election Lean Republican, citing structural barriers to a third consecutive Democratic win. Limited early polling and the absence of general-election matchups keep probabilities sensitive to nominee selection and any shifts in turnout patterns between now and November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$7,061종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kansas's 2026 gubernatorial contest is an open-seat race after Democratic incumbent Laura Kelly reached her term limit. The state’s partisan lean, reflected in its 2024 presidential margin and consistent Republican performance in down-ballot contests, underpins trader consensus favoring the eventual Republican nominee at 67 percent. Primary filing closed June 1, 2026, with Senate President Ty Masterson emerging as the clearest Republican frontrunner after securing an endorsement from President Trump; Democrats face a more fragmented field led by state senators Cindy Holscher and Ethan Corson ahead of the August 4 primaries. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the general election Lean Republican, citing structural barriers to a third consecutive Democratic win. Limited early polling and the absence of general-election matchups keep probabilities sensitive to nominee selection and any shifts in turnout patterns between now and November 3.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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