Following Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's martyrdom in late February 2026, his official X account @khamenei_ir has maintained a steady but low posting rhythm of archival statements—averaging roughly one every two days, as seen in six posts from April 1-13 including quotes on Zionism, the US, and Jesus Christ timed near Easter. With no posts since April 13 and the April 14-21 window now underway, trader consensus reflects this post-leadership pattern, splitting closely between <5 posts (18%) and 60+ (18.1%) amid uncertainty over succession signals, potential mourning pauses, or escalation in Iran-Israel tensions that could prompt a posting surge or silence. Prior weekly tallies of 2-4 keep moderate bins viable, but leadership transition dynamics hold potential to tip volumes.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Khamenei # posts April 14 - April 21, 2026?
Khamenei # posts April 14 - April 21, 2026?
<5 18%
15-19 10.3%
5-9 8.7%
55-59 4.4%
신규
신규
2026.04.21
<5
18%
5-9
9%
10-14
7%
15-19
10%
20-24
4%
25-29
2%
30-34
32%
35-39
2%
40-44
1%
45-49
1%
50-54
4%
55-59
4%
60+
38%
<5 18%
15-19 10.3%
5-9 8.7%
55-59 4.4%
신규
신규
2026.04.21
<5
$829 거래량
18%
5-9
$665 거래량
9%
10-14
$665 거래량
7%
15-19
$730 거래량
10%
20-24
$865 거래량
4%
25-29
$689 거래량
2%
30-34
$680 거래량
32%
35-39
$639 거래량
2%
40-44
$684 거래량
1%
45-49
$659 거래량
1%
50-54
$705 거래량
4%
55-59
$720 거래량
4%
60+
$714 거래량
38%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Following Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's martyrdom in late February 2026, his official X account @khamenei_ir has maintained a steady but low posting rhythm of archival statements—averaging roughly one every two days, as seen in six posts from April 1-13 including quotes on Zionism, the US, and Jesus Christ timed near Easter. With no posts since April 13 and the April 14-21 window now underway, trader consensus reflects this post-leadership pattern, splitting closely between <5 posts (18%) and 60+ (18.1%) amid uncertainty over succession signals, potential mourning pauses, or escalation in Iran-Israel tensions that could prompt a posting surge or silence. Prior weekly tallies of 2-4 keep moderate bins viable, but leadership transition dynamics hold potential to tip volumes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
마켓 개설일: Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
거래량
$9,134종료일
2026.04.21마켓 개설일
Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Following Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's martyrdom in late February 2026, his official X account @khamenei_ir has maintained a steady but low posting rhythm of archival statements—averaging roughly one every two days, as seen in six posts from April 1-13 including quotes on Zionism, the US, and Jesus Christ timed near Easter. With no posts since April 13 and the April 14-21 window now underway, trader consensus reflects this post-leadership pattern, splitting closely between <5 posts (18%) and 60+ (18.1%) amid uncertainty over succession signals, potential mourning pauses, or escalation in Iran-Israel tensions that could prompt a posting surge or silence. Prior weekly tallies of 2-4 keep moderate bins viable, but leadership transition dynamics hold potential to tip volumes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
거래량
$9,134종료일
2026.04.21마켓 개설일
Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Following Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's martyrdom in late February 2026, his official X account @khamenei_ir has maintained a steady but low posting rhythm of archival statements—averaging roughly one every two days, as seen in six posts from April 1-13 including quotes on Zionism, the US, and Jesus Christ timed near Easter. With no posts since April 13 and the April 14-21 window now underway, trader consensus reflects this post-leadership pattern, splitting closely between <5 posts (18%) and 60+ (18.1%) amid uncertainty over succession signals, potential mourning pauses, or escalation in Iran-Israel tensions that could prompt a posting surge or silence. Prior weekly tallies of 2-4 keep moderate bins viable, but leadership transition dynamics hold potential to tip volumes.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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