Trader consensus on Polymarket implies Elon Musk will post 1300-1400 times on X in May 2026, with the 1320-1359 bin leading at 7.6% amid tightly contested odds reflecting his consistent high-volume posting patterns. This positioning mirrors March 2026's verified 1320-1359 total and April's early pace of 249 posts over six days (42 daily average as of April 16), driven by steady engagement on Tesla FSD demos, SpaceX builds, and political commentary like South Africa farm attacks. Competitive dynamics hinge on daily fluctuations—recent bursts exceed 50 posts amid news cycles—versus quieter periods, with potential spikes from upcoming Grok releases or company announcements creating uncertainty in this skin-in-the-game forecast.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트1320-1359 7.6%
1360-1399 7.0%
1,280~1,319 6.8%
1160~1199 6.8%
$306,991 거래량
$306,991 거래량
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80~99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
<1%
200-219
<1%
220~239
<1%
240~259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280~299
<1%
300~319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360~379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560~579
<1%
580~599
<1%
600-619
1%
620-639
<1%
640-659
<1%
660-679
<1%
680~699
<1%
700-719
<1%
720-739
<1%
740-759
<1%
760-779
1%
780-799
1%
800-839
1%
840-879
1%
880-919
1%
920-959
1%
960-999
2%
1000~1039
2%
1040-1079
3%
1080-1119
3%
1120-1159
5%
1160~1199
7%
1200-1239
6%
1240-1279
6%
1,280~1,319
7%
1320-1359
8%
1360-1399
7%
1400~1439
6%
1440-1479
6%
1480~1519
4%
1520-1559
3%
1560~1599
3%
1600~1679
1%
1680~1759
1%
1760-1839
1%
1840-1919
2%
1920-1999
1%
2000개 이상
1%
1320-1359 7.6%
1360-1399 7.0%
1,280~1,319 6.8%
1160~1199 6.8%
$306,991 거래량
$306,991 거래량
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80~99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
<1%
200-219
<1%
220~239
<1%
240~259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280~299
<1%
300~319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360~379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560~579
<1%
580~599
<1%
600-619
1%
620-639
<1%
640-659
<1%
660-679
<1%
680~699
<1%
700-719
<1%
720-739
<1%
740-759
<1%
760-779
1%
780-799
1%
800-839
1%
840-879
1%
880-919
1%
920-959
1%
960-999
2%
1000~1039
2%
1040-1079
3%
1080-1119
3%
1120-1159
5%
1160~1199
7%
1200-1239
6%
1240-1279
6%
1,280~1,319
7%
1320-1359
8%
1360-1399
7%
1400~1439
6%
1440-1479
6%
1480~1519
4%
1520-1559
3%
1560~1599
3%
1600~1679
1%
1680~1759
1%
1760-1839
1%
1840-1919
2%
1920-1999
1%
2000개 이상
1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
마켓 개설일: Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies Elon Musk will post 1300-1400 times on X in May 2026, with the 1320-1359 bin leading at 7.6% amid tightly contested odds reflecting his consistent high-volume posting patterns. This positioning mirrors March 2026's verified 1320-1359 total and April's early pace of 249 posts over six days (42 daily average as of April 16), driven by steady engagement on Tesla FSD demos, SpaceX builds, and political commentary like South Africa farm attacks. Competitive dynamics hinge on daily fluctuations—recent bursts exceed 50 posts amid news cycles—versus quieter periods, with potential spikes from upcoming Grok releases or company announcements creating uncertainty in this skin-in-the-game forecast.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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