Trader consensus on the official @khamenei_ir X account posting 30-34 times from April 14-21 reflects the historical pattern of 3-4 daily archival statements from the late Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, who was martyred in early March U.S. strikes, sustaining activity through March despite leadership transition to son Mojtaba Khamenei. Recent silence—no posts since April 13 amid reports of Mojtaba's severe injuries from wartime actions and limited public appearances—bolsters support for <5 (14.5%) and lower bins, highlighting uncertainty in institutional continuity during geopolitical tensions. Higher ranges differentiate on expectations of autonomous operations by the Leader's office; consolidation behind 30-34 could follow a resumption of routine disseminations, while prolonged quiet amid health rumors favors sub-10 outcomes before April 21 resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Khamenei # posts April 14 - April 21, 2026?
Khamenei # posts April 14 - April 21, 2026?
20-24 23.0%
<5 15%
5-9 9.1%
55-59 3.3%
신규
신규
2026.04.21
<5
15%
5-9
9%
10-14
3%
15-19
2%
20-24
13%
25-29
2%
30-34
2%
35-39
1%
40-44
1%
45-49
1%
50-54
2%
55-59
8%
60+
2%
20-24 23.0%
<5 15%
5-9 9.1%
55-59 3.3%
신규
신규
2026.04.21
<5
$860 거래량
15%
5-9
$697 거래량
9%
10-14
$666 거래량
3%
15-19
$738 거래량
2%
20-24
$866 거래량
13%
25-29
$690 거래량
2%
30-34
$686 거래량
2%
35-39
$640 거래량
1%
40-44
$685 거래량
1%
45-49
$660 거래량
1%
50-54
$706 거래량
2%
55-59
$736 거래량
8%
60+
$715 거래량
2%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on the official @khamenei_ir X account posting 30-34 times from April 14-21 reflects the historical pattern of 3-4 daily archival statements from the late Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, who was martyred in early March U.S. strikes, sustaining activity through March despite leadership transition to son Mojtaba Khamenei. Recent silence—no posts since April 13 amid reports of Mojtaba's severe injuries from wartime actions and limited public appearances—bolsters support for <5 (14.5%) and lower bins, highlighting uncertainty in institutional continuity during geopolitical tensions. Higher ranges differentiate on expectations of autonomous operations by the Leader's office; consolidation behind 30-34 could follow a resumption of routine disseminations, while prolonged quiet amid health rumors favors sub-10 outcomes before April 21 resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
마켓 개설일: Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
거래량
$9,340종료일
2026.04.21마켓 개설일
Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on the official @khamenei_ir X account posting 30-34 times from April 14-21 reflects the historical pattern of 3-4 daily archival statements from the late Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, who was martyred in early March U.S. strikes, sustaining activity through March despite leadership transition to son Mojtaba Khamenei. Recent silence—no posts since April 13 amid reports of Mojtaba's severe injuries from wartime actions and limited public appearances—bolsters support for <5 (14.5%) and lower bins, highlighting uncertainty in institutional continuity during geopolitical tensions. Higher ranges differentiate on expectations of autonomous operations by the Leader's office; consolidation behind 30-34 could follow a resumption of routine disseminations, while prolonged quiet amid health rumors favors sub-10 outcomes before April 21 resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
거래량
$9,340종료일
2026.04.21마켓 개설일
Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the official @khamenei_ir X account posting 30-34 times from April 14-21 reflects the historical pattern of 3-4 daily archival statements from the late Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, who was martyred in early March U.S. strikes, sustaining activity through March despite leadership transition to son Mojtaba Khamenei. Recent silence—no posts since April 13 amid reports of Mojtaba's severe injuries from wartime actions and limited public appearances—bolsters support for <5 (14.5%) and lower bins, highlighting uncertainty in institutional continuity during geopolitical tensions. Higher ranges differentiate on expectations of autonomous operations by the Leader's office; consolidation behind 30-34 could follow a resumption of routine disseminations, while prolonged quiet amid health rumors favors sub-10 outcomes before April 21 resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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