Maryland’s 7th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic partisan composition, reflected in the incumbent’s 80 percent share of the 2024 general-election vote. The upcoming June 23 Democratic primary features incumbent Kweisi Mfume facing challengers including Baltimore City Councilmember Mark Conway, along with Tashi Davis and Theo Gillespie. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic. On the Republican side, perennial nominee Scott Collier is the presumptive general-election candidate. These structural factors and the absence of recent developments that would alter the district’s fundamentals continue to anchor trader consensus on the Democratic outcome while keeping the Republican probability low.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$15,544 거래량
$15,544 거래량
Republican Party
4%
Democratic Party
57%
$15,544 거래량
$15,544 거래량
Republican Party
4%
Democratic Party
57%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland’s 7th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic partisan composition, reflected in the incumbent’s 80 percent share of the 2024 general-election vote. The upcoming June 23 Democratic primary features incumbent Kweisi Mfume facing challengers including Baltimore City Councilmember Mark Conway, along with Tashi Davis and Theo Gillespie. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic. On the Republican side, perennial nominee Scott Collier is the presumptive general-election candidate. These structural factors and the absence of recent developments that would alter the district’s fundamentals continue to anchor trader consensus on the Democratic outcome while keeping the Republican probability low.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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