Incumbent Democrat Maggie Goodlander leads trader consensus at 86.5% implied probability for the NH-02 House seat following her six-point victory over Republican Lily Tang Williams in 2024 in this D+2 Cook Partisan Voting Index district, bolstering her reelection prospects amid a weak GOP field with Williams as the sole declared challenger seeking a third bid. Recent April 2026 polling, including Saint Anselm College and others, shows Goodlander maintaining a lead despite some tightening, supported by her bipartisan push against government shutdowns and high favorability as voters eye the June filing deadline and September 8 primaries. GOP hopes hinge on a stronger nominee or national midterm dynamics under a Republican presidency, though structural incumbency advantages and district lean sustain Democratic dominance.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
87%
Republican Party
14%
신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
$309 거래량
87%
Republican Party
$3,873 거래량
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Maggie Goodlander leads trader consensus at 86.5% implied probability for the NH-02 House seat following her six-point victory over Republican Lily Tang Williams in 2024 in this D+2 Cook Partisan Voting Index district, bolstering her reelection prospects amid a weak GOP field with Williams as the sole declared challenger seeking a third bid. Recent April 2026 polling, including Saint Anselm College and others, shows Goodlander maintaining a lead despite some tightening, supported by her bipartisan push against government shutdowns and high favorability as voters eye the June filing deadline and September 8 primaries. GOP hopes hinge on a stronger nominee or national midterm dynamics under a Republican presidency, though structural incumbency advantages and district lean sustain Democratic dominance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
거래량
$4,182종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Maggie Goodlander leads trader consensus at 86.5% implied probability for the NH-02 House seat following her six-point victory over Republican Lily Tang Williams in 2024 in this D+2 Cook Partisan Voting Index district, bolstering her reelection prospects amid a weak GOP field with Williams as the sole declared challenger seeking a third bid. Recent April 2026 polling, including Saint Anselm College and others, shows Goodlander maintaining a lead despite some tightening, supported by her bipartisan push against government shutdowns and high favorability as voters eye the June filing deadline and September 8 primaries. GOP hopes hinge on a stronger nominee or national midterm dynamics under a Republican presidency, though structural incumbency advantages and district lean sustain Democratic dominance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$4,182종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Maggie Goodlander leads trader consensus at 86.5% implied probability for the NH-02 House seat following her six-point victory over Republican Lily Tang Williams in 2024 in this D+2 Cook Partisan Voting Index district, bolstering her reelection prospects amid a weak GOP field with Williams as the sole declared challenger seeking a third bid. Recent April 2026 polling, including Saint Anselm College and others, shows Goodlander maintaining a lead despite some tightening, supported by her bipartisan push against government shutdowns and high favorability as voters eye the June filing deadline and September 8 primaries. GOP hopes hinge on a stronger nominee or national midterm dynamics under a Republican presidency, though structural incumbency advantages and district lean sustain Democratic dominance.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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