Despite intensified Democratic calls to invoke Section 4 of the 25th Amendment amid President Trump's recent Iran threats and ceasefire announcements, Vice President JD Vance and the cabinet—Trump appointees—have shown no inclination to declare incapacity, solidifying trader consensus at 92.5% for "No" removal before 2027. Rep. Jamie Raskin's April 14 bill to create a presidential fitness commission faces slim odds in the Republican-controlled House, echoing historical precedents where the amendment has never been used involuntarily against a resisting president. Ongoing foreign policy tensions have amplified rhetoric from figures like former CIA Director John Brennan and state Democrats, but structural barriers and party loyalty maintain low probabilities absent a major shift in cabinet dynamics.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$19,846 거래량
$19,846 거래량
2026.12.31
예
$19,846 거래량
$19,846 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.Despite intensified Democratic calls to invoke Section 4 of the 25th Amendment amid President Trump's recent Iran threats and ceasefire announcements, Vice President JD Vance and the cabinet—Trump appointees—have shown no inclination to declare incapacity, solidifying trader consensus at 92.5% for "No" removal before 2027. Rep. Jamie Raskin's April 14 bill to create a presidential fitness commission faces slim odds in the Republican-controlled House, echoing historical precedents where the amendment has never been used involuntarily against a resisting president. Ongoing foreign policy tensions have amplified rhetoric from figures like former CIA Director John Brennan and state Democrats, but structural barriers and party loyalty maintain low probabilities absent a major shift in cabinet dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.
마켓 개설일: Nov 5, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
거래량
$19,846종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 5, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.Despite intensified Democratic calls to invoke Section 4 of the 25th Amendment amid President Trump's recent Iran threats and ceasefire announcements, Vice President JD Vance and the cabinet—Trump appointees—have shown no inclination to declare incapacity, solidifying trader consensus at 92.5% for "No" removal before 2027. Rep. Jamie Raskin's April 14 bill to create a presidential fitness commission faces slim odds in the Republican-controlled House, echoing historical precedents where the amendment has never been used involuntarily against a resisting president. Ongoing foreign policy tensions have amplified rhetoric from figures like former CIA Director John Brennan and state Democrats, but structural barriers and party loyalty maintain low probabilities absent a major shift in cabinet dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.
거래량
$19,846종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 5, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Despite intensified Democratic calls to invoke Section 4 of the 25th Amendment amid President Trump's recent Iran threats and ceasefire announcements, Vice President JD Vance and the cabinet—Trump appointees—have shown no inclination to declare incapacity, solidifying trader consensus at 92.5% for "No" removal before 2027. Rep. Jamie Raskin's April 14 bill to create a presidential fitness commission faces slim odds in the Republican-controlled House, echoing historical precedents where the amendment has never been used involuntarily against a resisting president. Ongoing foreign policy tensions have amplified rhetoric from figures like former CIA Director John Brennan and state Democrats, but structural barriers and party loyalty maintain low probabilities absent a major shift in cabinet dynamics.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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