Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Avengers: Doomsday with a 93.8% implied probability of outgrossing Dune: Part Three on their shared December 18, 2026 opening weekend, driven by explosive long-lead tracking positioning it as 2026's top box office earner and Marvel's storied Avengers track record—Infinity War and Endgame posted $257M and $357M domestic debuts, dwarfing Dune 2's $82M. Robert Downey Jr.'s Doctor Doom return amplifies broad-appeal hype amid MCU ensemble star power, while recent industry polls crown Doomsday the year's global leader. Dune boasts fervent demand, with IMAX 70mm presales selling out in minutes last week, securing premium screens for three weeks and fueling "Dunesday" Barbenheimer-style buzz that could split audiences or boost Dune via double features; poor Doomsday trailer reception or MCU fatigue might narrow the gap ahead of CinemaCon footage drops.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트듄 3 또는 어벤져스: 둠스데이는 오프닝 주말에 더 많은 수익을 올릴 수 있을까요?
듄 3 또는 어벤져스: 둠스데이는 오프닝 주말에 더 많은 수익을 올릴 수 있을까요?
듄 3
$35,105 거래량
$35,105 거래량
2026.12.20
듄 3
$35,105 거래량
$35,105 거래량
2026.12.20
Avengers: Doomsday and Dune 3 are scheduled for release on December 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the film which grosses more domestically during their opening weekend in theaters. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on these movies' The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) pages will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (December 18 - December 20) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If both movies report the same gross for the 3-day opening weekend, this market will resolve in favor of the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the release date for one movie changes, this market will resolve to the movie which grosses more in its opening weekend once opening weekend figures for both movies are finalized.
If the release of either movie is delayed beyond February 28, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Avengers: Doomsday with a 93.8% implied probability of outgrossing Dune: Part Three on their shared December 18, 2026 opening weekend, driven by explosive long-lead tracking positioning it as 2026's top box office earner and Marvel's storied Avengers track record—Infinity War and Endgame posted $257M and $357M domestic debuts, dwarfing Dune 2's $82M. Robert Downey Jr.'s Doctor Doom return amplifies broad-appeal hype amid MCU ensemble star power, while recent industry polls crown Doomsday the year's global leader. Dune boasts fervent demand, with IMAX 70mm presales selling out in minutes last week, securing premium screens for three weeks and fueling "Dunesday" Barbenheimer-style buzz that could split audiences or boost Dune via double features; poor Doomsday trailer reception or MCU fatigue might narrow the gap ahead of CinemaCon footage drops.
Avengers: Doomsday and Dune 3 are scheduled for release on December 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the film which grosses more domestically during their opening weekend in theaters. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on these movies' The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) pages will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (December 18 - December 20) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If both movies report the same gross for the 3-day opening weekend, this market will resolve in favor of the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the release date for one movie changes, this market will resolve to the movie which grosses more in its opening weekend once opening weekend figures for both movies are finalized.
If the release of either movie is delayed beyond February 28, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If both movies report the same gross for the 3-day opening weekend, this market will resolve in favor of the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the release date for one movie changes, this market will resolve to the movie which grosses more in its opening weekend once opening weekend figures for both movies are finalized.
If the release of either movie is delayed beyond February 28, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
마켓 개설일: Jan 5, 2026, 5:46 PM ET
거래량
$35,105종료일
2026.12.20마켓 개설일
Jan 5, 2026, 5:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Avengers: Doomsday and Dune 3 are scheduled for release on December 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the film which grosses more domestically during their opening weekend in theaters. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on these movies' The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) pages will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (December 18 - December 20) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If both movies report the same gross for the 3-day opening weekend, this market will resolve in favor of the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the release date for one movie changes, this market will resolve to the movie which grosses more in its opening weekend once opening weekend figures for both movies are finalized.
If the release of either movie is delayed beyond February 28, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Avengers: Doomsday with a 93.8% implied probability of outgrossing Dune: Part Three on their shared December 18, 2026 opening weekend, driven by explosive long-lead tracking positioning it as 2026's top box office earner and Marvel's storied Avengers track record—Infinity War and Endgame posted $257M and $357M domestic debuts, dwarfing Dune 2's $82M. Robert Downey Jr.'s Doctor Doom return amplifies broad-appeal hype amid MCU ensemble star power, while recent industry polls crown Doomsday the year's global leader. Dune boasts fervent demand, with IMAX 70mm presales selling out in minutes last week, securing premium screens for three weeks and fueling "Dunesday" Barbenheimer-style buzz that could split audiences or boost Dune via double features; poor Doomsday trailer reception or MCU fatigue might narrow the gap ahead of CinemaCon footage drops.
Avengers: Doomsday and Dune 3 are scheduled for release on December 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the film which grosses more domestically during their opening weekend in theaters. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on these movies' The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) pages will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (December 18 - December 20) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If both movies report the same gross for the 3-day opening weekend, this market will resolve in favor of the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the release date for one movie changes, this market will resolve to the movie which grosses more in its opening weekend once opening weekend figures for both movies are finalized.
If the release of either movie is delayed beyond February 28, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If both movies report the same gross for the 3-day opening weekend, this market will resolve in favor of the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the release date for one movie changes, this market will resolve to the movie which grosses more in its opening weekend once opening weekend figures for both movies are finalized.
If the release of either movie is delayed beyond February 28, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
거래량
$35,105종료일
2026.12.20마켓 개설일
Jan 5, 2026, 5:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Avengers: Doomsday with a 93.8% implied probability of outgrossing Dune: Part Three on their shared December 18, 2026 opening weekend, driven by explosive long-lead tracking positioning it as 2026's top box office earner and Marvel's storied Avengers track record—Infinity War and Endgame posted $257M and $357M domestic debuts, dwarfing Dune 2's $82M. Robert Downey Jr.'s Doctor Doom return amplifies broad-appeal hype amid MCU ensemble star power, while recent industry polls crown Doomsday the year's global leader. Dune boasts fervent demand, with IMAX 70mm presales selling out in minutes last week, securing premium screens for three weeks and fueling "Dunesday" Barbenheimer-style buzz that could split audiences or boost Dune via double features; poor Doomsday trailer reception or MCU fatigue might narrow the gap ahead of CinemaCon footage drops.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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