Trader consensus assigns a 97.5% implied probability against Donald Trump resigning before 2027, reflecting the historical rarity of presidential resignations and the absence of recent developments or statements suggesting any intent to step down during the early portion of the second term. Official schedules, public appearances, and administration priorities continue without interruption, consistent with patterns where incumbents serve full terms absent extraordinary events. This pricing captures the baseline expectation shaped by constitutional structures and past precedents. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include sudden health developments, major scandals triggering successful impeachment proceedings, or unforeseen personal decisions, though such factors have not materialized in recent months.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$19,654 거래량
$19,654 거래량
2026.12.31
예
$19,654 거래량
$19,654 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus assigns a 97.5% implied probability against Donald Trump resigning before 2027, reflecting the historical rarity of presidential resignations and the absence of recent developments or statements suggesting any intent to step down during the early portion of the second term. Official schedules, public appearances, and administration priorities continue without interruption, consistent with patterns where incumbents serve full terms absent extraordinary events. This pricing captures the baseline expectation shaped by constitutional structures and past precedents. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include sudden health developments, major scandals triggering successful impeachment proceedings, or unforeseen personal decisions, though such factors have not materialized in recent months.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
마켓 개설일: Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ET
거래량
$19,654종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus assigns a 97.5% implied probability against Donald Trump resigning before 2027, reflecting the historical rarity of presidential resignations and the absence of recent developments or statements suggesting any intent to step down during the early portion of the second term. Official schedules, public appearances, and administration priorities continue without interruption, consistent with patterns where incumbents serve full terms absent extraordinary events. This pricing captures the baseline expectation shaped by constitutional structures and past precedents. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include sudden health developments, major scandals triggering successful impeachment proceedings, or unforeseen personal decisions, though such factors have not materialized in recent months.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
거래량
$19,654종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus assigns a 97.5% implied probability against Donald Trump resigning before 2027, reflecting the historical rarity of presidential resignations and the absence of recent developments or statements suggesting any intent to step down during the early portion of the second term. Official schedules, public appearances, and administration priorities continue without interruption, consistent with patterns where incumbents serve full terms absent extraordinary events. This pricing captures the baseline expectation shaped by constitutional structures and past precedents. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include sudden health developments, major scandals triggering successful impeachment proceedings, or unforeseen personal decisions, though such factors have not materialized in recent months.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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