Traders assign a 96.4% probability that President Trump will not resign before 2027, consistent with the historical rarity of U.S. presidential resignations and the lack of recent public statements, health disclosures, or political developments suggesting otherwise. Key factors include Trump's repeated affirmations of completing his term, the political incentives of his administration, and the institutional barriers such as Senate confirmation dynamics for any successor. While severe health events, family considerations, or extraordinary legal pressures could still prompt a change, no such verified catalysts have emerged in the current term, sustaining the strong market consensus against early departure.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$19,695 거래량
$19,695 거래량
2026.12.31
예
$19,695 거래량
$19,695 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Traders assign a 96.4% probability that President Trump will not resign before 2027, consistent with the historical rarity of U.S. presidential resignations and the lack of recent public statements, health disclosures, or political developments suggesting otherwise. Key factors include Trump's repeated affirmations of completing his term, the political incentives of his administration, and the institutional barriers such as Senate confirmation dynamics for any successor. While severe health events, family considerations, or extraordinary legal pressures could still prompt a change, no such verified catalysts have emerged in the current term, sustaining the strong market consensus against early departure.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
마켓 개설일: Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ET
거래량
$19,695종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Traders assign a 96.4% probability that President Trump will not resign before 2027, consistent with the historical rarity of U.S. presidential resignations and the lack of recent public statements, health disclosures, or political developments suggesting otherwise. Key factors include Trump's repeated affirmations of completing his term, the political incentives of his administration, and the institutional barriers such as Senate confirmation dynamics for any successor. While severe health events, family considerations, or extraordinary legal pressures could still prompt a change, no such verified catalysts have emerged in the current term, sustaining the strong market consensus against early departure.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
거래량
$19,695종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders assign a 96.4% probability that President Trump will not resign before 2027, consistent with the historical rarity of U.S. presidential resignations and the lack of recent public statements, health disclosures, or political developments suggesting otherwise. Key factors include Trump's repeated affirmations of completing his term, the political incentives of his administration, and the institutional barriers such as Senate confirmation dynamics for any successor. While severe health events, family considerations, or extraordinary legal pressures could still prompt a change, no such verified catalysts have emerged in the current term, sustaining the strong market consensus against early departure.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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