The overwhelming trader consensus against Donald Trump resigning before 2027 reflects the absence of any major political, health, or institutional pressures that have historically prompted presidential departures. Trump’s public statements and schedule show continued engagement in executive actions, legislative priorities, and party leadership without signals of early exit, consistent with patterns where incumbents facing legal or partisan challenges complete their terms. Constitutional eligibility rules and the lack of recent developments such as cabinet-level vacancies, congressional investigations, or health announcements further anchor expectations. While late-term events including sudden illness, unforeseen scandals, or extraordinary family circumstances could theoretically shift dynamics, current evidence points to low probability of resolution before the 2027 threshold.