Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 95% implied probability against President Trump resigning before 2027, driven by the absence of substantive political pressures or official actions signaling an exit during his second term. Recent Easter weekend social media rumors of a health crisis or hospitalization were promptly debunked by White House statements and fact-checkers, revealing no verified medical issues. The March 17 resignation of National Counterterrorism Center Director Joe Kent over Iran policy disagreements remains an isolated incident without broader cabinet upheaval or calls for Trump's departure. Partisan speculation, such as Democrat strategist James Carville's prediction of a voluntary step-down by April 2027, has failed to sway markets amid GOP congressional majorities, no active impeachment proceedings, and Trump's historical resistance to resignation. Late-breaking scandals, invocation of the 25th Amendment, or confirmed health declines could still alter trader sentiment.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$15,427 거래량
$15,427 거래량
2026.12.31
예
$15,427 거래량
$15,427 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 95% implied probability against President Trump resigning before 2027, driven by the absence of substantive political pressures or official actions signaling an exit during his second term. Recent Easter weekend social media rumors of a health crisis or hospitalization were promptly debunked by White House statements and fact-checkers, revealing no verified medical issues. The March 17 resignation of National Counterterrorism Center Director Joe Kent over Iran policy disagreements remains an isolated incident without broader cabinet upheaval or calls for Trump's departure. Partisan speculation, such as Democrat strategist James Carville's prediction of a voluntary step-down by April 2027, has failed to sway markets amid GOP congressional majorities, no active impeachment proceedings, and Trump's historical resistance to resignation. Late-breaking scandals, invocation of the 25th Amendment, or confirmed health declines could still alter trader sentiment.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
마켓 개설일: Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ET
거래량
$15,427종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 95% implied probability against President Trump resigning before 2027, driven by the absence of substantive political pressures or official actions signaling an exit during his second term. Recent Easter weekend social media rumors of a health crisis or hospitalization were promptly debunked by White House statements and fact-checkers, revealing no verified medical issues. The March 17 resignation of National Counterterrorism Center Director Joe Kent over Iran policy disagreements remains an isolated incident without broader cabinet upheaval or calls for Trump's departure. Partisan speculation, such as Democrat strategist James Carville's prediction of a voluntary step-down by April 2027, has failed to sway markets amid GOP congressional majorities, no active impeachment proceedings, and Trump's historical resistance to resignation. Late-breaking scandals, invocation of the 25th Amendment, or confirmed health declines could still alter trader sentiment.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
거래량
$15,427종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 95% implied probability against President Trump resigning before 2027, driven by the absence of substantive political pressures or official actions signaling an exit during his second term. Recent Easter weekend social media rumors of a health crisis or hospitalization were promptly debunked by White House statements and fact-checkers, revealing no verified medical issues. The March 17 resignation of National Counterterrorism Center Director Joe Kent over Iran policy disagreements remains an isolated incident without broader cabinet upheaval or calls for Trump's departure. Partisan speculation, such as Democrat strategist James Carville's prediction of a voluntary step-down by April 2027, has failed to sway markets amid GOP congressional majorities, no active impeachment proceedings, and Trump's historical resistance to resignation. Late-breaking scandals, invocation of the 25th Amendment, or confirmed health declines could still alter trader sentiment.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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