Brazil's Supreme Federal Court (STF) justices face exceptionally high procedural and institutional barriers to impeachment removal, with Congress requiring supermajorities and facing constitutional limits that have never resulted in a successful ouster of a sitting justice. Recent congressional reports from early 2026 recommending proceedings against justices including Gilmar Mendes over the Banco Master scandal represent notable opposition pressure, yet the STF's own tightening of impeachment rules and strong judicial self-preservation have reinforced stability. Traders' overwhelming consensus on no removal before 2027 reflects these structural hurdles and historical precedent. Even so, shifts in congressional composition after 2026 elections, escalation of ongoing investigations, or extraordinary political realignments could still alter trajectories within the resolution window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$82,649 Wol.
$82,649 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
$82,649 Wol.
$82,649 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Brazil's Supreme Federal Court (STF) justices face exceptionally high procedural and institutional barriers to impeachment removal, with Congress requiring supermajorities and facing constitutional limits that have never resulted in a successful ouster of a sitting justice. Recent congressional reports from early 2026 recommending proceedings against justices including Gilmar Mendes over the Banco Master scandal represent notable opposition pressure, yet the STF's own tightening of impeachment rules and strong judicial self-preservation have reinforced stability. Traders' overwhelming consensus on no removal before 2027 reflects these structural hurdles and historical precedent. Even so, shifts in congressional composition after 2026 elections, escalation of ongoing investigations, or extraordinary political realignments could still alter trajectories within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
Wolumen
$82,649Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Brazil's Supreme Federal Court (STF) justices face exceptionally high procedural and institutional barriers to impeachment removal, with Congress requiring supermajorities and facing constitutional limits that have never resulted in a successful ouster of a sitting justice. Recent congressional reports from early 2026 recommending proceedings against justices including Gilmar Mendes over the Banco Master scandal represent notable opposition pressure, yet the STF's own tightening of impeachment rules and strong judicial self-preservation have reinforced stability. Traders' overwhelming consensus on no removal before 2027 reflects these structural hurdles and historical precedent. Even so, shifts in congressional composition after 2026 elections, escalation of ongoing investigations, or extraordinary political realignments could still alter trajectories within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$82,649Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Brazil's Supreme Federal Court (STF) justices face exceptionally high procedural and institutional barriers to impeachment removal, with Congress requiring supermajorities and facing constitutional limits that have never resulted in a successful ouster of a sitting justice. Recent congressional reports from early 2026 recommending proceedings against justices including Gilmar Mendes over the Banco Master scandal represent notable opposition pressure, yet the STF's own tightening of impeachment rules and strong judicial self-preservation have reinforced stability. Traders' overwhelming consensus on no removal before 2027 reflects these structural hurdles and historical precedent. Even so, shifts in congressional composition after 2026 elections, escalation of ongoing investigations, or extraordinary political realignments could still alter trajectories within the resolution window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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