Polling on April 9 in the Assam Legislative Assembly election for 126 seats saw record voter turnout exceeding 80%, bolstering trader consensus on a BJP landslide reflected in 97.3% implied probability for BJP as winner. Pre- and post-poll surveys, including IANS-Matrize projections of BJP+ securing 92-102 seats, underscore incumbent Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's strong momentum from development initiatives, delimitation gains in Upper Assam, and fragmented opposition votes split among INC, AIUDF, and regional parties like AGP. Ground reports highlight BJP dominance among Hindus, tea tribes, and OBCs. Results counting on May 4 could confirm this, though discrepancies in close contests or recounts might marginally shift odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoAssam Legislative Assembly Election Winner
Assam Legislative Assembly Election Winner
BJP 97.2%
INC 2.4%
AITC <1%
CPI(M) <1%
$67,174 Wol.
$67,174 Wol.

BJP
97%

INC
2%

AITC
<1%

CPI(M)
<1%

NCP
<1%

AIUDF
<1%

BPF
<1%

CPI
<1%

NPEP
<1%

AGP
<1%
BJP 97.2%
INC 2.4%
AITC <1%
CPI(M) <1%
$67,174 Wol.
$67,174 Wol.

BJP
97%

INC
2%

AITC
<1%

CPI(M)
<1%

NCP
<1%

AIUDF
<1%

BPF
<1%

CPI
<1%

NPEP
<1%

AGP
<1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
Rynek otwarty: Dec 23, 2025, 3:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polling on April 9 in the Assam Legislative Assembly election for 126 seats saw record voter turnout exceeding 80%, bolstering trader consensus on a BJP landslide reflected in 97.3% implied probability for BJP as winner. Pre- and post-poll surveys, including IANS-Matrize projections of BJP+ securing 92-102 seats, underscore incumbent Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's strong momentum from development initiatives, delimitation gains in Upper Assam, and fragmented opposition votes split among INC, AIUDF, and regional parties like AGP. Ground reports highlight BJP dominance among Hindus, tea tribes, and OBCs. Results counting on May 4 could confirm this, though discrepancies in close contests or recounts might marginally shift odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania