Morena holds a commanding lead in trader pricing for the June 2027 Mexican Chamber of Deputies election, driven by repeated national polling advantages of roughly 25–35 points over the nearest rivals and its position as the incumbent ruling party with unified federal leadership. Surveys from mid-2025 through August 2026 consistently place Morena at 38–49% voting intention, well ahead of PAN, PRI, and Movimiento Ciudadano, while its informal alliance with PVEM and PT further bolsters seat-projection potential under Mexico’s mixed-member system. Opposition fragmentation and limited coalition coordination have kept alternative blocs from closing the gap. Factors that could narrow the margin include successful PAN-PRI alliances in key districts, sustained economic pressures shifting voter priorities, or further fractures within the ruling coalition before the June 6 vote.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoMorena 91.9%
PAN 7.2%
PRI <1%
MC <1%
$100,147 Wol.
$100,147 Wol.
Jun 5, 2027
Morena
92%
PAN
7%
PRI
1%
MC
<1%
PT
<1%
PVEM
<1%
Morena 91.9%
PAN 7.2%
PRI <1%
MC <1%
$100,147 Wol.
$100,147 Wol.
Jun 5, 2027
Morena
$55,412 Wol.
92%
PAN
$16,839 Wol.
7%
PRI
$7,219 Wol.
1%
MC
$8,408 Wol.
<1%
PT
$6,128 Wol.
<1%
PVEM
$6,141 Wol.
<1%
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).Morena holds a commanding lead in trader pricing for the June 2027 Mexican Chamber of Deputies election, driven by repeated national polling advantages of roughly 25–35 points over the nearest rivals and its position as the incumbent ruling party with unified federal leadership. Surveys from mid-2025 through August 2026 consistently place Morena at 38–49% voting intention, well ahead of PAN, PRI, and Movimiento Ciudadano, while its informal alliance with PVEM and PT further bolsters seat-projection potential under Mexico’s mixed-member system. Opposition fragmentation and limited coalition coordination have kept alternative blocs from closing the gap. Factors that could narrow the margin include successful PAN-PRI alliances in key districts, sustained economic pressures shifting voter priorities, or further fractures within the ruling coalition before the June 6 vote.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Rynek otwarty: May 15, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Wolumen
$100,147Data zakończenia
Jun 6, 2027Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).Morena holds a commanding lead in trader pricing for the June 2027 Mexican Chamber of Deputies election, driven by repeated national polling advantages of roughly 25–35 points over the nearest rivals and its position as the incumbent ruling party with unified federal leadership. Surveys from mid-2025 through August 2026 consistently place Morena at 38–49% voting intention, well ahead of PAN, PRI, and Movimiento Ciudadano, while its informal alliance with PVEM and PT further bolsters seat-projection potential under Mexico’s mixed-member system. Opposition fragmentation and limited coalition coordination have kept alternative blocs from closing the gap. Factors that could narrow the margin include successful PAN-PRI alliances in key districts, sustained economic pressures shifting voter priorities, or further fractures within the ruling coalition before the June 6 vote.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Wolumen
$100,147Data zakończenia
Jun 6, 2027Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Morena holds a commanding lead in trader pricing for the June 2027 Mexican Chamber of Deputies election, driven by repeated national polling advantages of roughly 25–35 points over the nearest rivals and its position as the incumbent ruling party with unified federal leadership. Surveys from mid-2025 through August 2026 consistently place Morena at 38–49% voting intention, well ahead of PAN, PRI, and Movimiento Ciudadano, while its informal alliance with PVEM and PT further bolsters seat-projection potential under Mexico’s mixed-member system. Opposition fragmentation and limited coalition coordination have kept alternative blocs from closing the gap. Factors that could narrow the margin include successful PAN-PRI alliances in key districts, sustained economic pressures shifting voter priorities, or further fractures within the ruling coalition before the June 6 vote.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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