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Polityka·Wybory Globalne

Farrer By-Election Winner

Market icon
Polityka·Wybory Globalne

Farrer By-Election Winner

Michelle Milthorpe 54%

David Farley 43%

Raissa Butkowski 3.0%

Rebecca Scriven 1.1%

Polymarket

$139,158 Wol.

Michelle Milthorpe 54%

David Farley 43%

Raissa Butkowski 3.0%

Rebecca Scriven 1.1%

Polymarket

$139,158 Wol.

Will Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives? icon

Michelle Milthorpe

$26,898 Wol.

54%

Will David Farley win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives? icon

David Farley

$90 Wol.

43%

Will Raissa Butkowski win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives? icon

Raissa Butkowski

$23 Wol.

3%

Will Rebecca Scriven win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives? icon

Rebecca Scriven

$93,112 Wol.

1%

Will Helen Dalton win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives? icon

Helen Dalton

$19,035 Wol.

1%

A by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives is expected to take place on May 9, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Australian Government, specifically the Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) (https://www.aec.gov.au/).In the Farrer by-election set for May 9, trader consensus slightly favors independent Michelle Milthorpe at 52% over One Nation's David Farley at 43%, reflecting anticipated preference flows in this fragmented 12-candidate field for the traditionally safe Liberal seat vacated by Sussan Ley. Early March polling showed Farley leading primaries at 29% versus Milthorpe's 23% amid a split conservative vote—Liberals at 19%, Nationals at 5%—with Labor standing aside to consolidate anti-One Nation support. The race remains tight due to pivotal Murray-Darling Basin water buyback disputes and irrigation concerns dividing rural voters, whose independent streak favors local trust over party lines. Separation could arise from the April 30 candidates' debate, Coalition leader visits, or late preference signals from Liberals urging One Nation last.

A by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives is expected to take place on May 9, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives.

If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Australian Government, specifically the Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) (https://www.aec.gov.au/).
Wolumen
$139,158
Data zakończenia
May 9, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Feb 17, 2026, 5:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
A by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives is expected to take place on May 9, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Australian Government, specifically the Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) (https://www.aec.gov.au/).
A by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives is expected to take place on May 9, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Australian Government, specifically the Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) (https://www.aec.gov.au/).In the Farrer by-election set for May 9, trader consensus slightly favors independent Michelle Milthorpe at 52% over One Nation's David Farley at 43%, reflecting anticipated preference flows in this fragmented 12-candidate field for the traditionally safe Liberal seat vacated by Sussan Ley. Early March polling showed Farley leading primaries at 29% versus Milthorpe's 23% amid a split conservative vote—Liberals at 19%, Nationals at 5%—with Labor standing aside to consolidate anti-One Nation support. The race remains tight due to pivotal Murray-Darling Basin water buyback disputes and irrigation concerns dividing rural voters, whose independent streak favors local trust over party lines. Separation could arise from the April 30 candidates' debate, Coalition leader visits, or late preference signals from Liberals urging One Nation last.

A by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives is expected to take place on May 9, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives.

If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Australian Government, specifically the Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) (https://www.aec.gov.au/).
Wolumen
$139,158
Data zakończenia
May 9, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Feb 17, 2026, 5:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
A by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives is expected to take place on May 9, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Australian Government, specifically the Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) (https://www.aec.gov.au/).

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Często zadawane pytania

"Farrer By-Election Winner" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 5 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Michelle Milthorpe" z 54%, za nim "David Farley" z 43%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 54¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 54% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Farrer By-Election Winner" wygenerował $139.2K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Feb 17, 2026. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Farrer By-Election Winner", przeglądaj 5 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Farrer By-Election Winner" jest "Michelle Milthorpe" z 54%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 54% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "David Farley" z 43%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Farrer By-Election Winner" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.