Official KNMI observations at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol station—the market's resolution authority—recorded a maximum temperature of 16°C on May 10, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome amid heavily overcast skies and northerly winds that suppressed solar heating and advection of warmer air. This aligns with pre-event ECMWF and GFS model runs forecasting mid-teens highs under persistent low cloud cover, matching early May climatological averages of around 16°C for the region. While resolved with high certainty via automated sensor data and quality-controlled measurements, realistic challenges include rare post-processing revisions for instrument anomalies or microsite discrepancies, though historical precedents show such adjustments affect less than 0.1% of daily records. Traders await no further updates as the market nears final settlement.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Amsterdam on May 10?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on May 10?
16°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$58,237 Wol.
$58,237 Wol.
May 10, 2026
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$58,237 Wol.
$58,237 Wol.
May 10, 2026
12°C or below
$2,299 Wol.
No
13°C
$2,218 Wol.
No
14°C
$4,548 Wol.
No
15°C
$14,736 Wol.
No
16°C
$9,611 Wol.
Yes
17°C
$13,707 Wol.
No
18°C
$3,855 Wol.
No
19°C
$3,560 Wol.
No
20°C
$1,438 Wol.
No
21°C
$1,164 Wol.
No
22°C or higher
$1,100 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official KNMI observations at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol station—the market's resolution authority—recorded a maximum temperature of 16°C on May 10, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome amid heavily overcast skies and northerly winds that suppressed solar heating and advection of warmer air. This aligns with pre-event ECMWF and GFS model runs forecasting mid-teens highs under persistent low cloud cover, matching early May climatological averages of around 16°C for the region. While resolved with high certainty via automated sensor data and quality-controlled measurements, realistic challenges include rare post-processing revisions for instrument anomalies or microsite discrepancies, though historical precedents show such adjustments affect less than 0.1% of daily records. Traders await no further updates as the market nears final settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 8, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Wolumen
$58,237Data zakończenia
May 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 8, 2026, 12:32 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official KNMI observations at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol station—the market's resolution authority—recorded a maximum temperature of 16°C on May 10, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome amid heavily overcast skies and northerly winds that suppressed solar heating and advection of warmer air. This aligns with pre-event ECMWF and GFS model runs forecasting mid-teens highs under persistent low cloud cover, matching early May climatological averages of around 16°C for the region. While resolved with high certainty via automated sensor data and quality-controlled measurements, realistic challenges include rare post-processing revisions for instrument anomalies or microsite discrepancies, though historical precedents show such adjustments affect less than 0.1% of daily records. Traders await no further updates as the market nears final settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$58,237Data zakończenia
May 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 8, 2026, 12:32 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official KNMI observations at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol station—the market's resolution authority—recorded a maximum temperature of 16°C on May 10, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome amid heavily overcast skies and northerly winds that suppressed solar heating and advection of warmer air. This aligns with pre-event ECMWF and GFS model runs forecasting mid-teens highs under persistent low cloud cover, matching early May climatological averages of around 16°C for the region. While resolved with high certainty via automated sensor data and quality-controlled measurements, realistic challenges include rare post-processing revisions for instrument anomalies or microsite discrepancies, though historical precedents show such adjustments affect less than 0.1% of daily records. Traders await no further updates as the market nears final settlement.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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