Current forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and BBC Weather point to a daytime high near 30°C in Ankara on August 18, aligning with the market's tight clustering of implied odds around 27–31°C. Late-summer anticyclonic conditions over central Anatolia, combined with clear skies and light northerly flow, favor strong diurnal heating but limit extreme warmth, while model consensus from ECMWF and regional runs shows minimal deviation. Key differentiating factors include exact wind speeds, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island effects, which can shift the peak by 1–2°C; any strengthening of northerly advection or unexpected cloud cover would favor the lower end of that range. Updated model guidance expected within 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Ankara on August 18?
Highest temperature in Ankara on August 18?
30°C 61%
29°C 34%
28°C 12%
31°C 5%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 18, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
12%
29°C
34%
30°C
48%
31°C
12%
32°C
4%
33°C
3%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
1%
30°C 61%
29°C 34%
28°C 12%
31°C 5%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 18, 2026
25°C or below
$0 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$0 Wol.
1%
27°C
$17 Wol.
3%
28°C
$0 Wol.
12%
29°C
$74 Wol.
34%
30°C
$5 Wol.
48%
31°C
$0 Wol.
12%
32°C
$0 Wol.
4%
33°C
$0 Wol.
3%
34°C
$0 Wol.
2%
35°C or higher
$0 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and BBC Weather point to a daytime high near 30°C in Ankara on August 18, aligning with the market's tight clustering of implied odds around 27–31°C. Late-summer anticyclonic conditions over central Anatolia, combined with clear skies and light northerly flow, favor strong diurnal heating but limit extreme warmth, while model consensus from ECMWF and regional runs shows minimal deviation. Key differentiating factors include exact wind speeds, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island effects, which can shift the peak by 1–2°C; any strengthening of northerly advection or unexpected cloud cover would favor the lower end of that range. Updated model guidance expected within 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$97Data zakończenia
Aug 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and BBC Weather point to a daytime high near 30°C in Ankara on August 18, aligning with the market's tight clustering of implied odds around 27–31°C. Late-summer anticyclonic conditions over central Anatolia, combined with clear skies and light northerly flow, favor strong diurnal heating but limit extreme warmth, while model consensus from ECMWF and regional runs shows minimal deviation. Key differentiating factors include exact wind speeds, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island effects, which can shift the peak by 1–2°C; any strengthening of northerly advection or unexpected cloud cover would favor the lower end of that range. Updated model guidance expected within 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$97Data zakończenia
Aug 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and BBC Weather point to a daytime high near 30°C in Ankara on August 18, aligning with the market's tight clustering of implied odds around 27–31°C. Late-summer anticyclonic conditions over central Anatolia, combined with clear skies and light northerly flow, favor strong diurnal heating but limit extreme warmth, while model consensus from ECMWF and regional runs shows minimal deviation. Key differentiating factors include exact wind speeds, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island effects, which can shift the peak by 1–2°C; any strengthening of northerly advection or unexpected cloud cover would favor the lower end of that range. Updated model guidance expected within 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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