Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C in Ankara on May 10, driven by observational data from the Esenboğa International Airport station—Ankara's official measurement site under the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM)—confirming this peak amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds that limited daytime heating. This aligns precisely with short-range forecasts from MGM and global models like ECMWF and GFS, which projected subdued solar insolation due to mid-level cloudiness and stable upper-air conditions typical for early May transitions. Historical May averages near 22°C further support the positioning. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc data revisions from instrument quality controls or metadata discrepancies across sources like Wunderground, with final MGM validation pending in the next 24 hours.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Ankara on May 10?
Highest temperature in Ankara on May 10?
23°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$78,923 Wol.
$78,923 Wol.
May 10, 2026
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$78,923 Wol.
$78,923 Wol.
May 10, 2026
17°C or below
$4,402 Wol.
No
18°C
$4,131 Wol.
No
19°C
$4,591 Wol.
No
20°C
$9,030 Wol.
No
21°C
$7,024 Wol.
No
22°C
$10,254 Wol.
No
23°C
$10,804 Wol.
Yes
24°C
$13,445 Wol.
No
25°C
$7,621 Wol.
No
26°C
$3,216 Wol.
No
27°C or higher
$4,405 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C in Ankara on May 10, driven by observational data from the Esenboğa International Airport station—Ankara's official measurement site under the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM)—confirming this peak amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds that limited daytime heating. This aligns precisely with short-range forecasts from MGM and global models like ECMWF and GFS, which projected subdued solar insolation due to mid-level cloudiness and stable upper-air conditions typical for early May transitions. Historical May averages near 22°C further support the positioning. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc data revisions from instrument quality controls or metadata discrepancies across sources like Wunderground, with final MGM validation pending in the next 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Wolumen
$78,923Data zakończenia
May 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C in Ankara on May 10, driven by observational data from the Esenboğa International Airport station—Ankara's official measurement site under the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM)—confirming this peak amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds that limited daytime heating. This aligns precisely with short-range forecasts from MGM and global models like ECMWF and GFS, which projected subdued solar insolation due to mid-level cloudiness and stable upper-air conditions typical for early May transitions. Historical May averages near 22°C further support the positioning. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc data revisions from instrument quality controls or metadata discrepancies across sources like Wunderground, with final MGM validation pending in the next 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$78,923Data zakończenia
May 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C in Ankara on May 10, driven by observational data from the Esenboğa International Airport station—Ankara's official measurement site under the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM)—confirming this peak amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds that limited daytime heating. This aligns precisely with short-range forecasts from MGM and global models like ECMWF and GFS, which projected subdued solar insolation due to mid-level cloudiness and stable upper-air conditions typical for early May transitions. Historical May averages near 22°C further support the positioning. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc data revisions from instrument quality controls or metadata discrepancies across sources like Wunderground, with final MGM validation pending in the next 24 hours.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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