Ongoing southwest monsoon flows, reinforced by nearby Tropical Depression Henry, are the main driver keeping Manila’s July 3 high-temperature odds clustered around 30–33 °C. Scattered thunderstorms and persistent cloud cover limit solar heating, while variable convective timing and localized clearing can still allow brief spikes into the low-to-mid 30s. PAGASA’s latest guidance points to a 32 °C daytime peak with a 40 % rain chance, aligning with climatological July averages near 31 °C yet leaving room for model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed. Traders therefore assign comparable probabilities to 30–33 °C outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in exactly how much insolation will reach the surface amid the disturbed monsoon pattern.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Manila on July 3?
Highest temperature in Manila on July 3?
35°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$68,637 Wol.
$68,637 Wol.
Jul 3, 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$68,637 Wol.
$68,637 Wol.
Jul 3, 2026
27°C or below
$1,401 Wol.
No
28°C
$4,672 Wol.
No
29°C
$3,711 Wol.
No
30°C
$3,758 Wol.
No
31°C
$4,685 Wol.
No
32°C
$10,212 Wol.
No
33°C
$9,835 Wol.
No
34°C
$8,093 Wol.
No
35°C
$7,085 Wol.
Yes
36°C
$7,917 Wol.
No
37°C or higher
$7,268 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing southwest monsoon flows, reinforced by nearby Tropical Depression Henry, are the main driver keeping Manila’s July 3 high-temperature odds clustered around 30–33 °C. Scattered thunderstorms and persistent cloud cover limit solar heating, while variable convective timing and localized clearing can still allow brief spikes into the low-to-mid 30s. PAGASA’s latest guidance points to a 32 °C daytime peak with a 40 % rain chance, aligning with climatological July averages near 31 °C yet leaving room for model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed. Traders therefore assign comparable probabilities to 30–33 °C outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in exactly how much insolation will reach the surface amid the disturbed monsoon pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$68,637Data zakończenia
Jul 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing southwest monsoon flows, reinforced by nearby Tropical Depression Henry, are the main driver keeping Manila’s July 3 high-temperature odds clustered around 30–33 °C. Scattered thunderstorms and persistent cloud cover limit solar heating, while variable convective timing and localized clearing can still allow brief spikes into the low-to-mid 30s. PAGASA’s latest guidance points to a 32 °C daytime peak with a 40 % rain chance, aligning with climatological July averages near 31 °C yet leaving room for model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed. Traders therefore assign comparable probabilities to 30–33 °C outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in exactly how much insolation will reach the surface amid the disturbed monsoon pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$68,637Data zakończenia
Jul 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Ongoing southwest monsoon flows, reinforced by nearby Tropical Depression Henry, are the main driver keeping Manila’s July 3 high-temperature odds clustered around 30–33 °C. Scattered thunderstorms and persistent cloud cover limit solar heating, while variable convective timing and localized clearing can still allow brief spikes into the low-to-mid 30s. PAGASA’s latest guidance points to a 32 °C daytime peak with a 40 % rain chance, aligning with climatological July averages near 31 °C yet leaving room for model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed. Traders therefore assign comparable probabilities to 30–33 °C outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in exactly how much insolation will reach the surface amid the disturbed monsoon pattern.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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