Recent short-range forecast guidance from European and global models indicates a maximum temperature near 22°C in Munich on July 1, aligning with the market’s tight clustering of implied probabilities on 21–23°C outcomes. A stable high-pressure ridge over Central Europe is expected to limit daytime heating while allowing modest warming under partly cloudy skies, with ensemble spreads reflecting typical uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and local urban heat effects. Historical July climatology for the region centers on 23–24°C highs, but current synoptic patterns favor slightly cooler conditions. Traders are monitoring the next model runs and any revisions to surface observations through June 30, as small shifts in cloud cover or wind could alter the peak by 1–2°C before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Munich on July 1?
Highest temperature in Munich on July 1?
22°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$303,861 Wol.
$303,861 Wol.
Jul 1, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$303,861 Wol.
$303,861 Wol.
Jul 1, 2026
18°C or below
$28,083 Wol.
No
19°C
$51,629 Wol.
No
20°C
$60,631 Wol.
No
21°C
$49,681 Wol.
No
22°C
$35,693 Wol.
Yes
23°C
$16,155 Wol.
No
24°C
$14,918 Wol.
No
25°C
$15,673 Wol.
No
26°C
$11,231 Wol.
No
27°C
$9,173 Wol.
No
28°C or higher
$10,994 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast guidance from European and global models indicates a maximum temperature near 22°C in Munich on July 1, aligning with the market’s tight clustering of implied probabilities on 21–23°C outcomes. A stable high-pressure ridge over Central Europe is expected to limit daytime heating while allowing modest warming under partly cloudy skies, with ensemble spreads reflecting typical uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and local urban heat effects. Historical July climatology for the region centers on 23–24°C highs, but current synoptic patterns favor slightly cooler conditions. Traders are monitoring the next model runs and any revisions to surface observations through June 30, as small shifts in cloud cover or wind could alter the peak by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 29, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Wolumen
$303,861Data zakończenia
Jul 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 29, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast guidance from European and global models indicates a maximum temperature near 22°C in Munich on July 1, aligning with the market’s tight clustering of implied probabilities on 21–23°C outcomes. A stable high-pressure ridge over Central Europe is expected to limit daytime heating while allowing modest warming under partly cloudy skies, with ensemble spreads reflecting typical uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and local urban heat effects. Historical July climatology for the region centers on 23–24°C highs, but current synoptic patterns favor slightly cooler conditions. Traders are monitoring the next model runs and any revisions to surface observations through June 30, as small shifts in cloud cover or wind could alter the peak by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$303,861Data zakończenia
Jul 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 29, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Recent short-range forecast guidance from European and global models indicates a maximum temperature near 22°C in Munich on July 1, aligning with the market’s tight clustering of implied probabilities on 21–23°C outcomes. A stable high-pressure ridge over Central Europe is expected to limit daytime heating while allowing modest warming under partly cloudy skies, with ensemble spreads reflecting typical uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and local urban heat effects. Historical July climatology for the region centers on 23–24°C highs, but current synoptic patterns favor slightly cooler conditions. Traders are monitoring the next model runs and any revisions to surface observations through June 30, as small shifts in cloud cover or wind could alter the peak by 1–2°C before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania