Recent National Weather Service and private model consensus shows Austin highs likely peaking near 100–101°F on August 27 amid a weakening high-pressure ridge and a 30–50% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms that could enhance cloud cover and limit insolation. Recent days reached 104–107°F under clearer, drier conditions, but increasing moisture and a weak disturbance are expected to moderate temperatures slightly while still supporting upper-90s to low-100s readings. This forecast uncertainty around convective timing and coverage drives the market’s heaviest weighting on the 100–101°F bin, with adjacent ranges reflecting model spread and the slim potential for stronger capping or clearer skies.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Austin on August 27?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 27?
100-101°F 41%
98-99°F 20%
102-103°F 18%
96-97°F 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 27, 2026
95°F or below
2%
96-97°F
9%
98-99°F
20%
100-101°F
41%
102-103°F
18%
104-105°F
5%
106-107°F
4%
108-109°F
3%
110-111°F
2%
112-113°F
1%
114°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 41%
98-99°F 20%
102-103°F 18%
96-97°F 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 27, 2026
95°F or below
$11 Wol.
2%
96-97°F
$0 Wol.
9%
98-99°F
$0 Wol.
20%
100-101°F
$10 Wol.
41%
102-103°F
$18 Wol.
18%
104-105°F
$252 Wol.
5%
106-107°F
$25 Wol.
4%
108-109°F
$0 Wol.
3%
110-111°F
$0 Wol.
2%
112-113°F
$0 Wol.
1%
114°F or higher
$47 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model consensus shows Austin highs likely peaking near 100–101°F on August 27 amid a weakening high-pressure ridge and a 30–50% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms that could enhance cloud cover and limit insolation. Recent days reached 104–107°F under clearer, drier conditions, but increasing moisture and a weak disturbance are expected to moderate temperatures slightly while still supporting upper-90s to low-100s readings. This forecast uncertainty around convective timing and coverage drives the market’s heaviest weighting on the 100–101°F bin, with adjacent ranges reflecting model spread and the slim potential for stronger capping or clearer skies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 25, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Wolumen
$363Data zakończenia
Aug 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 25, 2026, 8:57 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model consensus shows Austin highs likely peaking near 100–101°F on August 27 amid a weakening high-pressure ridge and a 30–50% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms that could enhance cloud cover and limit insolation. Recent days reached 104–107°F under clearer, drier conditions, but increasing moisture and a weak disturbance are expected to moderate temperatures slightly while still supporting upper-90s to low-100s readings. This forecast uncertainty around convective timing and coverage drives the market’s heaviest weighting on the 100–101°F bin, with adjacent ranges reflecting model spread and the slim potential for stronger capping or clearer skies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$363Data zakończenia
Aug 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 25, 2026, 8:57 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and private model consensus shows Austin highs likely peaking near 100–101°F on August 27 amid a weakening high-pressure ridge and a 30–50% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms that could enhance cloud cover and limit insolation. Recent days reached 104–107°F under clearer, drier conditions, but increasing moisture and a weak disturbance are expected to moderate temperatures slightly while still supporting upper-90s to low-100s readings. This forecast uncertainty around convective timing and coverage drives the market’s heaviest weighting on the 100–101°F bin, with adjacent ranges reflecting model spread and the slim potential for stronger capping or clearer skies.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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