Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a 25°C high temperature in Beijing on April 27, driven by China Meteorological Administration (CMA) observations at Beijing Capital International Airport—the official resolution source—confirming a midday peak of exactly 25°C under hazy sunshine, light northerly winds (16-24 km/h), and a subsiding high-pressure ridge fostering efficient boundary-layer heating from overnight lows near 9°C. This aligns with updated ECMWF and GFS model runs, building on yesterday's 24°C actual high amid spring warming trends exceeding late-April climatological averages of 22°C. With the sun setting and temperatures declining, realistic challenges are minimal but could involve post-peak measurement revisions from CMA's final hourly bulletins or rare urban heat island effects pushing marginally higher, though low probability persists ahead of midnight UTC airport data lock.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Beijing on April 27?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 27?
25°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$214,203 Wol.
$214,203 Wol.
Apr 27, 2026
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$214,203 Wol.
$214,203 Wol.
Apr 27, 2026
17°C or below
$3,195 Wol.
No
18°C
$2,629 Wol.
No
19°C
$1,909 Wol.
No
20°C
$6,223 Wol.
No
21°C
$13,881 Wol.
No
22°C
$25,729 Wol.
No
23°C
$37,607 Wol.
No
24°C
$46,520 Wol.
No
25°C
$45,101 Wol.
Yes
26°C
$18,604 Wol.
No
27°C or higher
$12,806 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a 25°C high temperature in Beijing on April 27, driven by China Meteorological Administration (CMA) observations at Beijing Capital International Airport—the official resolution source—confirming a midday peak of exactly 25°C under hazy sunshine, light northerly winds (16-24 km/h), and a subsiding high-pressure ridge fostering efficient boundary-layer heating from overnight lows near 9°C. This aligns with updated ECMWF and GFS model runs, building on yesterday's 24°C actual high amid spring warming trends exceeding late-April climatological averages of 22°C. With the sun setting and temperatures declining, realistic challenges are minimal but could involve post-peak measurement revisions from CMA's final hourly bulletins or rare urban heat island effects pushing marginally higher, though low probability persists ahead of midnight UTC airport data lock.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$214,203Data zakończenia
Apr 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a 25°C high temperature in Beijing on April 27, driven by China Meteorological Administration (CMA) observations at Beijing Capital International Airport—the official resolution source—confirming a midday peak of exactly 25°C under hazy sunshine, light northerly winds (16-24 km/h), and a subsiding high-pressure ridge fostering efficient boundary-layer heating from overnight lows near 9°C. This aligns with updated ECMWF and GFS model runs, building on yesterday's 24°C actual high amid spring warming trends exceeding late-April climatological averages of 22°C. With the sun setting and temperatures declining, realistic challenges are minimal but could involve post-peak measurement revisions from CMA's final hourly bulletins or rare urban heat island effects pushing marginally higher, though low probability persists ahead of midnight UTC airport data lock.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$214,203Data zakończenia
Apr 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a 25°C high temperature in Beijing on April 27, driven by China Meteorological Administration (CMA) observations at Beijing Capital International Airport—the official resolution source—confirming a midday peak of exactly 25°C under hazy sunshine, light northerly winds (16-24 km/h), and a subsiding high-pressure ridge fostering efficient boundary-layer heating from overnight lows near 9°C. This aligns with updated ECMWF and GFS model runs, building on yesterday's 24°C actual high amid spring warming trends exceeding late-April climatological averages of 22°C. With the sun setting and temperatures declining, realistic challenges are minimal but could involve post-peak measurement revisions from CMA's final hourly bulletins or rare urban heat island effects pushing marginally higher, though low probability persists ahead of midnight UTC airport data lock.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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