Recent forecast guidance from meteorological models positions an 18°C daily maximum as the most probable outcome for Buenos Aires on August 16, reflecting mild winter conditions with light southerly flow and limited cloud cover that allow modest daytime warming. Historical August climatology shows average highs near 15–17°C, but current observations and short-range ensemble runs indicate slightly above-normal temperatures without significant cold-air advection or precipitation to suppress the peak. Traders’ heavy weighting toward 18°C incorporates the narrow uncertainty band typical of stable high-pressure influence over the Río de la Plata region, while the secondary 17°C probability accounts for potential model spread or slight timing shifts in any weak frontal passage. Updated surface analyses and station data through the morning will refine these market-implied odds ahead of official daily maximum certification.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 16?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 16?
18°C 56%
17°C 24%
19°C 11%
20°C 4%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 16, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
3%
17°C
24%
18°C
56%
19°C
11%
20°C
4%
21°C
2%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
<1%
18°C 56%
17°C 24%
19°C 11%
20°C 4%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 16, 2026
13°C or below
$107 Wol.
<1%
14°C
$108 Wol.
<1%
15°C
$61 Wol.
<1%
16°C
$225 Wol.
3%
17°C
$307 Wol.
24%
18°C
$617 Wol.
56%
19°C
$1,620 Wol.
11%
20°C
$987 Wol.
4%
21°C
$88 Wol.
2%
22°C
$121 Wol.
1%
23°C or higher
$55 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from meteorological models positions an 18°C daily maximum as the most probable outcome for Buenos Aires on August 16, reflecting mild winter conditions with light southerly flow and limited cloud cover that allow modest daytime warming. Historical August climatology shows average highs near 15–17°C, but current observations and short-range ensemble runs indicate slightly above-normal temperatures without significant cold-air advection or precipitation to suppress the peak. Traders’ heavy weighting toward 18°C incorporates the narrow uncertainty band typical of stable high-pressure influence over the Río de la Plata region, while the secondary 17°C probability accounts for potential model spread or slight timing shifts in any weak frontal passage. Updated surface analyses and station data through the morning will refine these market-implied odds ahead of official daily maximum certification.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 15, 2026, 4:00 PM ET
Wolumen
$4,295Data zakończenia
Aug 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 15, 2026, 4:00 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from meteorological models positions an 18°C daily maximum as the most probable outcome for Buenos Aires on August 16, reflecting mild winter conditions with light southerly flow and limited cloud cover that allow modest daytime warming. Historical August climatology shows average highs near 15–17°C, but current observations and short-range ensemble runs indicate slightly above-normal temperatures without significant cold-air advection or precipitation to suppress the peak. Traders’ heavy weighting toward 18°C incorporates the narrow uncertainty band typical of stable high-pressure influence over the Río de la Plata region, while the secondary 17°C probability accounts for potential model spread or slight timing shifts in any weak frontal passage. Updated surface analyses and station data through the morning will refine these market-implied odds ahead of official daily maximum certification.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$4,295Data zakończenia
Aug 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 15, 2026, 4:00 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from meteorological models positions an 18°C daily maximum as the most probable outcome for Buenos Aires on August 16, reflecting mild winter conditions with light southerly flow and limited cloud cover that allow modest daytime warming. Historical August climatology shows average highs near 15–17°C, but current observations and short-range ensemble runs indicate slightly above-normal temperatures without significant cold-air advection or precipitation to suppress the peak. Traders’ heavy weighting toward 18°C incorporates the narrow uncertainty band typical of stable high-pressure influence over the Río de la Plata region, while the secondary 17°C probability accounts for potential model spread or slight timing shifts in any weak frontal passage. Updated surface analyses and station data through the morning will refine these market-implied odds ahead of official daily maximum certification.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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