Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Busan's highest temperature reaching exactly 24°C today, driven by the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecast, which projects a daytime peak of 24°C under partly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds and moderate humidity limiting further warming. Current observations from KMA stations confirm morning temperatures climbing steadily toward this cap, consistent with regional ensemble model runs showing minimal convective activity and no heat advection from inland areas—aligning with May climatology where Busan averages highs of 22–24°C. Scenarios challenging this include prolonged solar insolation from unexpected clearing skies or microscale urban heating effects, potentially nudging readings to 25°C; KMA's evening update will provide final observational data for market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Busan on May 11?
Highest temperature in Busan on May 11?
24°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$40,620 Wol.
$40,620 Wol.
May 11, 2026
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$40,620 Wol.
$40,620 Wol.
May 11, 2026
16°C or below
$1,114 Wol.
No
17°C
$659 Wol.
No
18°C
$1,932 Wol.
No
19°C
$8,055 Wol.
No
20°C
$3,168 Wol.
No
21°C
$2,443 Wol.
No
22°C
$2,420 Wol.
No
23°C
$2,628 Wol.
No
24°C
$5,518 Wol.
Yes
25°C
$5,978 Wol.
No
26°C or higher
$6,705 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Busan's highest temperature reaching exactly 24°C today, driven by the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecast, which projects a daytime peak of 24°C under partly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds and moderate humidity limiting further warming. Current observations from KMA stations confirm morning temperatures climbing steadily toward this cap, consistent with regional ensemble model runs showing minimal convective activity and no heat advection from inland areas—aligning with May climatology where Busan averages highs of 22–24°C. Scenarios challenging this include prolonged solar insolation from unexpected clearing skies or microscale urban heating effects, potentially nudging readings to 25°C; KMA's evening update will provide final observational data for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 9, 2026, 7:52 AM ET
Wolumen
$40,620Data zakończenia
May 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 9, 2026, 7:52 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Busan's highest temperature reaching exactly 24°C today, driven by the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecast, which projects a daytime peak of 24°C under partly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds and moderate humidity limiting further warming. Current observations from KMA stations confirm morning temperatures climbing steadily toward this cap, consistent with regional ensemble model runs showing minimal convective activity and no heat advection from inland areas—aligning with May climatology where Busan averages highs of 22–24°C. Scenarios challenging this include prolonged solar insolation from unexpected clearing skies or microscale urban heating effects, potentially nudging readings to 25°C; KMA's evening update will provide final observational data for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$40,620Data zakończenia
May 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 9, 2026, 7:52 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Busan's highest temperature reaching exactly 24°C today, driven by the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecast, which projects a daytime peak of 24°C under partly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds and moderate humidity limiting further warming. Current observations from KMA stations confirm morning temperatures climbing steadily toward this cap, consistent with regional ensemble model runs showing minimal convective activity and no heat advection from inland areas—aligning with May climatology where Busan averages highs of 22–24°C. Scenarios challenging this include prolonged solar insolation from unexpected clearing skies or microscale urban heating effects, potentially nudging readings to 25°C; KMA's evening update will provide final observational data for market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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