Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecast drives the market-implied 100% probability on a 21°C high in Busan today, projecting peak temperatures at Gimhae International Airport—the market's official resolution station—amid mostly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and 10-30% precipitation odds that cap warming through persistent moisture and reduced solar insolation. Current observations align with hourly model runs showing midday peaks near 21°C (feels-like 22°C), consistent with Busan's climatological May highs of 20-22°C and typical 1-2°C forecast errors. Realistic challenges include unexpected cloud breaks boosting surface heating or unforecast warm advection, though short-range ensembles indicate low risk; monitor real-time Gimhae data for intraday shifts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Busan on May 12?
Highest temperature in Busan on May 12?
21°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$103,001 Wol.
$103,001 Wol.
May 12, 2026
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$103,001 Wol.
$103,001 Wol.
May 12, 2026
15°C or below
$1,843 Wol.
No
16°C
$1,879 Wol.
No
17°C
$8,162 Wol.
No
18°C
$12,308 Wol.
No
19°C
$10,839 Wol.
No
20°C
$15,170 Wol.
No
21°C
$12,024 Wol.
Yes
22°C
$14,660 Wol.
No
23°C
$7,712 Wol.
No
24°C
$8,501 Wol.
No
25°C or higher
$9,905 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecast drives the market-implied 100% probability on a 21°C high in Busan today, projecting peak temperatures at Gimhae International Airport—the market's official resolution station—amid mostly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and 10-30% precipitation odds that cap warming through persistent moisture and reduced solar insolation. Current observations align with hourly model runs showing midday peaks near 21°C (feels-like 22°C), consistent with Busan's climatological May highs of 20-22°C and typical 1-2°C forecast errors. Realistic challenges include unexpected cloud breaks boosting surface heating or unforecast warm advection, though short-range ensembles indicate low risk; monitor real-time Gimhae data for intraday shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 10, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Wolumen
$103,001Data zakończenia
May 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 10, 2026, 12:09 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecast drives the market-implied 100% probability on a 21°C high in Busan today, projecting peak temperatures at Gimhae International Airport—the market's official resolution station—amid mostly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and 10-30% precipitation odds that cap warming through persistent moisture and reduced solar insolation. Current observations align with hourly model runs showing midday peaks near 21°C (feels-like 22°C), consistent with Busan's climatological May highs of 20-22°C and typical 1-2°C forecast errors. Realistic challenges include unexpected cloud breaks boosting surface heating or unforecast warm advection, though short-range ensembles indicate low risk; monitor real-time Gimhae data for intraday shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$103,001Data zakończenia
May 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 10, 2026, 12:09 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecast drives the market-implied 100% probability on a 21°C high in Busan today, projecting peak temperatures at Gimhae International Airport—the market's official resolution station—amid mostly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and 10-30% precipitation odds that cap warming through persistent moisture and reduced solar insolation. Current observations align with hourly model runs showing midday peaks near 21°C (feels-like 22°C), consistent with Busan's climatological May highs of 20-22°C and typical 1-2°C forecast errors. Realistic challenges include unexpected cloud breaks boosting surface heating or unforecast warm advection, though short-range ensembles indicate low risk; monitor real-time Gimhae data for intraday shifts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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