National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago O'Hare International Airport, the market's official observation station, project a high of 55-57°F on April 29 under mostly sunny skies with light northwesterly winds, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 56°F or higher. This aligns with NOAA Global Forecast System and ECMWF ensemble model agreement on persistent upper-level ridging over the Midwest, following a recent warm spell with prior highs in the 60s—still below the April 29 climatological normal of 64°F—and bolsters confidence amid morning observations already near 57°F. Realistic challenges include low-level moisture from Lake Michigan fostering unexpected cloud cover or a subtle frontal shift capping peaks at 54-55°F, with hourly NWS updates and afternoon model runs providing final clarity before evening resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chicago on April 29?
Highest temperature in Chicago on April 29?
56°F or higher 100.0%
37°F or below <1%
38-39°F <1%
40-41°F <1%
$91,051 Wol.
$91,051 Wol.
Apr 29, 2026
37°F or below
No
38-39°F
No
40-41°F
No
42-43°F
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56°F or higher
Yes
56°F or higher 100.0%
37°F or below <1%
38-39°F <1%
40-41°F <1%
$91,051 Wol.
$91,051 Wol.
Apr 29, 2026
37°F or below
$21,055 Wol.
No
38-39°F
$2,156 Wol.
No
40-41°F
$1,547 Wol.
No
42-43°F
$2,059 Wol.
No
44-45°F
$1,317 Wol.
No
46-47°F
$7,471 Wol.
No
48-49°F
$6,771 Wol.
No
50-51°F
$11,685 Wol.
No
52-53°F
$8,207 Wol.
No
54-55°F
$7,929 Wol.
No
56°F or higher
$20,855 Wol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago O'Hare International Airport, the market's official observation station, project a high of 55-57°F on April 29 under mostly sunny skies with light northwesterly winds, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 56°F or higher. This aligns with NOAA Global Forecast System and ECMWF ensemble model agreement on persistent upper-level ridging over the Midwest, following a recent warm spell with prior highs in the 60s—still below the April 29 climatological normal of 64°F—and bolsters confidence amid morning observations already near 57°F. Realistic challenges include low-level moisture from Lake Michigan fostering unexpected cloud cover or a subtle frontal shift capping peaks at 54-55°F, with hourly NWS updates and afternoon model runs providing final clarity before evening resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 27, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Wolumen
$91,051Data zakończenia
Apr 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 27, 2026, 12:14 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago O'Hare International Airport, the market's official observation station, project a high of 55-57°F on April 29 under mostly sunny skies with light northwesterly winds, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 56°F or higher. This aligns with NOAA Global Forecast System and ECMWF ensemble model agreement on persistent upper-level ridging over the Midwest, following a recent warm spell with prior highs in the 60s—still below the April 29 climatological normal of 64°F—and bolsters confidence amid morning observations already near 57°F. Realistic challenges include low-level moisture from Lake Michigan fostering unexpected cloud cover or a subtle frontal shift capping peaks at 54-55°F, with hourly NWS updates and afternoon model runs providing final clarity before evening resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$91,051Data zakończenia
Apr 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 27, 2026, 12:14 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago O'Hare International Airport, the market's official observation station, project a high of 55-57°F on April 29 under mostly sunny skies with light northwesterly winds, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 56°F or higher. This aligns with NOAA Global Forecast System and ECMWF ensemble model agreement on persistent upper-level ridging over the Midwest, following a recent warm spell with prior highs in the 60s—still below the April 29 climatological normal of 64°F—and bolsters confidence amid morning observations already near 57°F. Realistic challenges include low-level moisture from Lake Michigan fostering unexpected cloud cover or a subtle frontal shift capping peaks at 54-55°F, with hourly NWS updates and afternoon model runs providing final clarity before evening resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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