National Weather Service forecast models show consensus for a high temperature near 78°F at Denver International Airport (KDEN) today, under mostly sunny skies with southwest winds 6-14 mph, driving the 100% market-implied probability on 44°F or higher. This positioning stems from a building high-pressure ridge promoting downslope warming and adiabatic compression typical in the Front Range, following yesterday's milder conditions around 67°F. Historical May data at KDEN (1991-2020 normals) indicate average highs of 68°F, with only 1% of days below 52°F, underscoring the scientific certainty. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen cold front surge or persistent low clouds suppressing daytime heating, though current guidance and ensemble models deem these low-risk; monitor hourly ASOS observations and midday NWS updates for confirmation.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Denver on May 9?
44°F or higher 100.0%
25°F or below <1%
26-27°F <1%
28-29°F <1%
$144,794 Wol.
$144,794 Wol.
25°F or below
No
26-27°F
No
28-29°F
No
30-31°F
No
32-33°F
No
34-35°F
No
36-37°F
No
38-39°F
No
40-41°F
No
42-43°F
No
44°F or higher
Yes
44°F or higher 100.0%
25°F or below <1%
26-27°F <1%
28-29°F <1%
$144,794 Wol.
$144,794 Wol.
25°F or below
No
26-27°F
No
28-29°F
No
30-31°F
No
32-33°F
No
34-35°F
No
36-37°F
No
38-39°F
No
40-41°F
No
42-43°F
No
44°F or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
National Weather Service forecast models show consensus for a high temperature near 78°F at Denver International Airport (KDEN) today, under mostly sunny skies with southwest winds 6-14 mph, driving the 100% market-implied probability on 44°F or higher. This positioning stems from a building high-pressure ridge promoting downslope warming and adiabatic compression typical in the Front Range, following yesterday's milder conditions around 67°F. Historical May data at KDEN (1991-2020 normals) indicate average highs of 68°F, with only 1% of days below 52°F, underscoring the scientific certainty. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen cold front surge or persistent low clouds suppressing daytime heating, though current guidance and ensemble models deem these low-risk; monitor hourly ASOS observations and midday NWS updates for confirmation.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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