Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a near-certain 100% implied probability for Helsinki's highest temperature on May 8 reaching exactly 15°C at the official Helsinki-Vantaa Airport station, as reported by the Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI). Real-time hourly observations confirm a midday peak of around 14.6–15°C under clear skies, light northwesterly winds (3–5 m/s), and low humidity (23%), followed by rapid cooling to 7–9°C by evening—aligning with early-May climatological norms where daily highs average 13–15°C amid transitional spring patterns. Model consensus from FMI forecasts accurately anticipated this without intensification potential. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare post hoc data revisions by FMI if sensor anomalies emerge; final daily summary expected within 24 hours.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Helsinki on May 8?
15°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$56,748 Wol.
$56,748 Wol.
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$56,748 Wol.
$56,748 Wol.
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 6, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a near-certain 100% implied probability for Helsinki's highest temperature on May 8 reaching exactly 15°C at the official Helsinki-Vantaa Airport station, as reported by the Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI). Real-time hourly observations confirm a midday peak of around 14.6–15°C under clear skies, light northwesterly winds (3–5 m/s), and low humidity (23%), followed by rapid cooling to 7–9°C by evening—aligning with early-May climatological norms where daily highs average 13–15°C amid transitional spring patterns. Model consensus from FMI forecasts accurately anticipated this without intensification potential. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare post hoc data revisions by FMI if sensor anomalies emerge; final daily summary expected within 24 hours.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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