Current short-range forecasts from models including those referenced by the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum temperature of 33–34 °C on June 24, with scattered showers and persistent high humidity likely moderating peak values. These conditions align with the closely matched market-implied odds for 33 °C and 34 °C, reflecting minor differences among ensemble runs on cloud cover, timing of precipitation, and steering flow from the southwest monsoon. Above-normal seasonal temperatures provide background support, yet the narrow spread between leading outcomes stems from typical late-June variability in convective activity and urban heat retention. Updated model guidance and official daily bulletins through June 23 will clarify whether daytime heating reaches the higher threshold.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on June 24?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 24?
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$193,684 Wol.
$193,684 Wol.
Jun 24, 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$193,684 Wol.
$193,684 Wol.
Jun 24, 2026
26°C or below
$1,261 Wol.
No
27°C
$156 Wol.
No
28°C
$262 Wol.
No
29°C
$770 Wol.
No
30°C
$5,928 Wol.
No
31°C
$25,402 Wol.
No
32°C
$59,475 Wol.
Yes
33°C
$44,157 Wol.
No
34°C
$34,623 Wol.
No
35°C
$11,853 Wol.
No
36°C or higher
$9,797 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current short-range forecasts from models including those referenced by the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum temperature of 33–34 °C on June 24, with scattered showers and persistent high humidity likely moderating peak values. These conditions align with the closely matched market-implied odds for 33 °C and 34 °C, reflecting minor differences among ensemble runs on cloud cover, timing of precipitation, and steering flow from the southwest monsoon. Above-normal seasonal temperatures provide background support, yet the narrow spread between leading outcomes stems from typical late-June variability in convective activity and urban heat retention. Updated model guidance and official daily bulletins through June 23 will clarify whether daytime heating reaches the higher threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 22, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Wolumen
$193,684Data zakończenia
Jun 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 22, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current short-range forecasts from models including those referenced by the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum temperature of 33–34 °C on June 24, with scattered showers and persistent high humidity likely moderating peak values. These conditions align with the closely matched market-implied odds for 33 °C and 34 °C, reflecting minor differences among ensemble runs on cloud cover, timing of precipitation, and steering flow from the southwest monsoon. Above-normal seasonal temperatures provide background support, yet the narrow spread between leading outcomes stems from typical late-June variability in convective activity and urban heat retention. Updated model guidance and official daily bulletins through June 23 will clarify whether daytime heating reaches the higher threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$193,684Data zakończenia
Jun 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 22, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Current short-range forecasts from models including those referenced by the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum temperature of 33–34 °C on June 24, with scattered showers and persistent high humidity likely moderating peak values. These conditions align with the closely matched market-implied odds for 33 °C and 34 °C, reflecting minor differences among ensemble runs on cloud cover, timing of precipitation, and steering flow from the southwest monsoon. Above-normal seasonal temperatures provide background support, yet the narrow spread between leading outcomes stems from typical late-June variability in convective activity and urban heat retention. Updated model guidance and official daily bulletins through June 23 will clarify whether daytime heating reaches the higher threshold.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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